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# Directory Structure

```
├── .dockerignore
├── .env.example
├── .github
│   ├── dependabot.yml
│   ├── FUNDING.yml
│   ├── ISSUE_TEMPLATE
│   │   ├── bug_report.md
│   │   ├── config.yml
│   │   ├── feature_request.md
│   │   ├── question.md
│   │   └── security_report.md
│   ├── pull_request_template.md
│   └── workflows
│       ├── claude-code-review.yml
│       └── claude.yml
├── .gitignore
├── .python-version
├── .vscode
│   ├── launch.json
│   └── settings.json
├── alembic
│   ├── env.py
│   ├── script.py.mako
│   └── versions
│       ├── 001_initial_schema.py
│       ├── 003_add_performance_indexes.py
│       ├── 006_rename_metadata_columns.py
│       ├── 008_performance_optimization_indexes.py
│       ├── 009_rename_to_supply_demand.py
│       ├── 010_self_contained_schema.py
│       ├── 011_remove_proprietary_terms.py
│       ├── 013_add_backtest_persistence_models.py
│       ├── 014_add_portfolio_models.py
│       ├── 08e3945a0c93_merge_heads.py
│       ├── 9374a5c9b679_merge_heads_for_testing.py
│       ├── abf9b9afb134_merge_multiple_heads.py
│       ├── adda6d3fd84b_merge_proprietary_terms_removal_with_.py
│       ├── e0c75b0bdadb_fix_financial_data_precision_only.py
│       ├── f0696e2cac15_add_essential_performance_indexes.py
│       └── fix_database_integrity_issues.py
├── alembic.ini
├── CLAUDE.md
├── CODE_OF_CONDUCT.md
├── CONTRIBUTING.md
├── DATABASE_SETUP.md
├── docker-compose.override.yml.example
├── docker-compose.yml
├── Dockerfile
├── docs
│   ├── api
│   │   └── backtesting.md
│   ├── BACKTESTING.md
│   ├── COST_BASIS_SPECIFICATION.md
│   ├── deep_research_agent.md
│   ├── exa_research_testing_strategy.md
│   ├── PORTFOLIO_PERSONALIZATION_PLAN.md
│   ├── PORTFOLIO.md
│   ├── SETUP_SELF_CONTAINED.md
│   └── speed_testing_framework.md
├── examples
│   ├── complete_speed_validation.py
│   ├── deep_research_integration.py
│   ├── llm_optimization_example.py
│   ├── llm_speed_demo.py
│   ├── monitoring_example.py
│   ├── parallel_research_example.py
│   ├── speed_optimization_demo.py
│   └── timeout_fix_demonstration.py
├── LICENSE
├── Makefile
├── MANIFEST.in
├── maverick_mcp
│   ├── __init__.py
│   ├── agents
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── base.py
│   │   ├── circuit_breaker.py
│   │   ├── deep_research.py
│   │   ├── market_analysis.py
│   │   ├── optimized_research.py
│   │   ├── supervisor.py
│   │   └── technical_analysis.py
│   ├── api
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── api_server.py
│   │   ├── connection_manager.py
│   │   ├── dependencies
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── stock_analysis.py
│   │   │   └── technical_analysis.py
│   │   ├── error_handling.py
│   │   ├── inspector_compatible_sse.py
│   │   ├── inspector_sse.py
│   │   ├── middleware
│   │   │   ├── error_handling.py
│   │   │   ├── mcp_logging.py
│   │   │   ├── rate_limiting_enhanced.py
│   │   │   └── security.py
│   │   ├── openapi_config.py
│   │   ├── routers
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── agents.py
│   │   │   ├── backtesting.py
│   │   │   ├── data_enhanced.py
│   │   │   ├── data.py
│   │   │   ├── health_enhanced.py
│   │   │   ├── health_tools.py
│   │   │   ├── health.py
│   │   │   ├── intelligent_backtesting.py
│   │   │   ├── introspection.py
│   │   │   ├── mcp_prompts.py
│   │   │   ├── monitoring.py
│   │   │   ├── news_sentiment_enhanced.py
│   │   │   ├── performance.py
│   │   │   ├── portfolio.py
│   │   │   ├── research.py
│   │   │   ├── screening_ddd.py
│   │   │   ├── screening_parallel.py
│   │   │   ├── screening.py
│   │   │   ├── technical_ddd.py
│   │   │   ├── technical_enhanced.py
│   │   │   ├── technical.py
│   │   │   └── tool_registry.py
│   │   ├── server.py
│   │   ├── services
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── base_service.py
│   │   │   ├── market_service.py
│   │   │   ├── portfolio_service.py
│   │   │   ├── prompt_service.py
│   │   │   └── resource_service.py
│   │   ├── simple_sse.py
│   │   └── utils
│   │       ├── __init__.py
│   │       ├── insomnia_export.py
│   │       └── postman_export.py
│   ├── application
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── commands
│   │   │   └── __init__.py
│   │   ├── dto
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── technical_analysis_dto.py
│   │   ├── queries
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── get_technical_analysis.py
│   │   └── screening
│   │       ├── __init__.py
│   │       ├── dtos.py
│   │       └── queries.py
│   ├── backtesting
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── ab_testing.py
│   │   ├── analysis.py
│   │   ├── batch_processing_stub.py
│   │   ├── batch_processing.py
│   │   ├── model_manager.py
│   │   ├── optimization.py
│   │   ├── persistence.py
│   │   ├── retraining_pipeline.py
│   │   ├── strategies
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── base.py
│   │   │   ├── ml
│   │   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   │   ├── adaptive.py
│   │   │   │   ├── ensemble.py
│   │   │   │   ├── feature_engineering.py
│   │   │   │   └── regime_aware.py
│   │   │   ├── ml_strategies.py
│   │   │   ├── parser.py
│   │   │   └── templates.py
│   │   ├── strategy_executor.py
│   │   ├── vectorbt_engine.py
│   │   └── visualization.py
│   ├── config
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── constants.py
│   │   ├── database_self_contained.py
│   │   ├── database.py
│   │   ├── llm_optimization_config.py
│   │   ├── logging_settings.py
│   │   ├── plotly_config.py
│   │   ├── security_utils.py
│   │   ├── security.py
│   │   ├── settings.py
│   │   ├── technical_constants.py
│   │   ├── tool_estimation.py
│   │   └── validation.py
│   ├── core
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── technical_analysis.py
│   │   └── visualization.py
│   ├── data
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── cache_manager.py
│   │   ├── cache.py
│   │   ├── django_adapter.py
│   │   ├── health.py
│   │   ├── models.py
│   │   ├── performance.py
│   │   ├── session_management.py
│   │   └── validation.py
│   ├── database
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── base.py
│   │   └── optimization.py
│   ├── dependencies.py
│   ├── domain
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── entities
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── stock_analysis.py
│   │   ├── events
│   │   │   └── __init__.py
│   │   ├── portfolio.py
│   │   ├── screening
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── entities.py
│   │   │   ├── services.py
│   │   │   └── value_objects.py
│   │   ├── services
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── technical_analysis_service.py
│   │   ├── stock_analysis
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── stock_analysis_service.py
│   │   └── value_objects
│   │       ├── __init__.py
│   │       └── technical_indicators.py
│   ├── exceptions.py
│   ├── infrastructure
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── cache
│   │   │   └── __init__.py
│   │   ├── caching
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── cache_management_service.py
│   │   ├── connection_manager.py
│   │   ├── data_fetching
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── stock_data_service.py
│   │   ├── health
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── health_checker.py
│   │   ├── persistence
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── stock_repository.py
│   │   ├── providers
│   │   │   └── __init__.py
│   │   ├── screening
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   └── repositories.py
│   │   └── sse_optimizer.py
│   ├── langchain_tools
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── adapters.py
│   │   └── registry.py
│   ├── logging_config.py
│   ├── memory
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   └── stores.py
│   ├── monitoring
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── health_check.py
│   │   ├── health_monitor.py
│   │   ├── integration_example.py
│   │   ├── metrics.py
│   │   ├── middleware.py
│   │   └── status_dashboard.py
│   ├── providers
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── dependencies.py
│   │   ├── factories
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── config_factory.py
│   │   │   └── provider_factory.py
│   │   ├── implementations
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── cache_adapter.py
│   │   │   ├── macro_data_adapter.py
│   │   │   ├── market_data_adapter.py
│   │   │   ├── persistence_adapter.py
│   │   │   └── stock_data_adapter.py
│   │   ├── interfaces
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── cache.py
│   │   │   ├── config.py
│   │   │   ├── macro_data.py
│   │   │   ├── market_data.py
│   │   │   ├── persistence.py
│   │   │   └── stock_data.py
│   │   ├── llm_factory.py
│   │   ├── macro_data.py
│   │   ├── market_data.py
│   │   ├── mocks
│   │   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   │   ├── mock_cache.py
│   │   │   ├── mock_config.py
│   │   │   ├── mock_macro_data.py
│   │   │   ├── mock_market_data.py
│   │   │   ├── mock_persistence.py
│   │   │   └── mock_stock_data.py
│   │   ├── openrouter_provider.py
│   │   ├── optimized_screening.py
│   │   ├── optimized_stock_data.py
│   │   └── stock_data.py
│   ├── README.md
│   ├── tests
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── README_INMEMORY_TESTS.md
│   │   ├── test_cache_debug.py
│   │   ├── test_fixes_validation.py
│   │   ├── test_in_memory_routers.py
│   │   ├── test_in_memory_server.py
│   │   ├── test_macro_data_provider.py
│   │   ├── test_mailgun_email.py
│   │   ├── test_market_calendar_caching.py
│   │   ├── test_mcp_tool_fixes_pytest.py
│   │   ├── test_mcp_tool_fixes.py
│   │   ├── test_mcp_tools.py
│   │   ├── test_models_functional.py
│   │   ├── test_server.py
│   │   ├── test_stock_data_enhanced.py
│   │   ├── test_stock_data_provider.py
│   │   └── test_technical_analysis.py
│   ├── tools
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── performance_monitoring.py
│   │   ├── portfolio_manager.py
│   │   ├── risk_management.py
│   │   └── sentiment_analysis.py
│   ├── utils
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── agent_errors.py
│   │   ├── batch_processing.py
│   │   ├── cache_warmer.py
│   │   ├── circuit_breaker_decorators.py
│   │   ├── circuit_breaker_services.py
│   │   ├── circuit_breaker.py
│   │   ├── data_chunking.py
│   │   ├── database_monitoring.py
│   │   ├── debug_utils.py
│   │   ├── fallback_strategies.py
│   │   ├── llm_optimization.py
│   │   ├── logging_example.py
│   │   ├── logging_init.py
│   │   ├── logging.py
│   │   ├── mcp_logging.py
│   │   ├── memory_profiler.py
│   │   ├── monitoring_middleware.py
│   │   ├── monitoring.py
│   │   ├── orchestration_logging.py
│   │   ├── parallel_research.py
│   │   ├── parallel_screening.py
│   │   ├── quick_cache.py
│   │   ├── resource_manager.py
│   │   ├── shutdown.py
│   │   ├── stock_helpers.py
│   │   ├── structured_logger.py
│   │   ├── tool_monitoring.py
│   │   ├── tracing.py
│   │   └── yfinance_pool.py
│   ├── validation
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── base.py
│   │   ├── data.py
│   │   ├── middleware.py
│   │   ├── portfolio.py
│   │   ├── responses.py
│   │   ├── screening.py
│   │   └── technical.py
│   └── workflows
│       ├── __init__.py
│       ├── agents
│       │   ├── __init__.py
│       │   ├── market_analyzer.py
│       │   ├── optimizer_agent.py
│       │   ├── strategy_selector.py
│       │   └── validator_agent.py
│       ├── backtesting_workflow.py
│       └── state.py
├── PLANS.md
├── pyproject.toml
├── pyrightconfig.json
├── README.md
├── scripts
│   ├── dev.sh
│   ├── INSTALLATION_GUIDE.md
│   ├── load_example.py
│   ├── load_market_data.py
│   ├── load_tiingo_data.py
│   ├── migrate_db.py
│   ├── README_TIINGO_LOADER.md
│   ├── requirements_tiingo.txt
│   ├── run_stock_screening.py
│   ├── run-migrations.sh
│   ├── seed_db.py
│   ├── seed_sp500.py
│   ├── setup_database.sh
│   ├── setup_self_contained.py
│   ├── setup_sp500_database.sh
│   ├── test_seeded_data.py
│   ├── test_tiingo_loader.py
│   ├── tiingo_config.py
│   └── validate_setup.py
├── SECURITY.md
├── server.json
├── setup.py
├── tests
│   ├── __init__.py
│   ├── conftest.py
│   ├── core
│   │   └── test_technical_analysis.py
│   ├── data
│   │   └── test_portfolio_models.py
│   ├── domain
│   │   ├── conftest.py
│   │   ├── test_portfolio_entities.py
│   │   └── test_technical_analysis_service.py
│   ├── fixtures
│   │   └── orchestration_fixtures.py
│   ├── integration
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── base.py
│   │   ├── README.md
│   │   ├── run_integration_tests.sh
│   │   ├── test_api_technical.py
│   │   ├── test_chaos_engineering.py
│   │   ├── test_config_management.py
│   │   ├── test_full_backtest_workflow_advanced.py
│   │   ├── test_full_backtest_workflow.py
│   │   ├── test_high_volume.py
│   │   ├── test_mcp_tools.py
│   │   ├── test_orchestration_complete.py
│   │   ├── test_portfolio_persistence.py
│   │   ├── test_redis_cache.py
│   │   ├── test_security_integration.py.disabled
│   │   └── vcr_setup.py
│   ├── performance
│   │   ├── __init__.py
│   │   ├── test_benchmarks.py
│   │   ├── test_load.py
│   │   ├── test_profiling.py
│   │   └── test_stress.py
│   ├── providers
│   │   └── test_stock_data_simple.py
│   ├── README.md
│   ├── test_agents_router_mcp.py
│   ├── test_backtest_persistence.py
│   ├── test_cache_management_service.py
│   ├── test_cache_serialization.py
│   ├── test_circuit_breaker.py
│   ├── test_database_pool_config_simple.py
│   ├── test_database_pool_config.py
│   ├── test_deep_research_functional.py
│   ├── test_deep_research_integration.py
│   ├── test_deep_research_parallel_execution.py
│   ├── test_error_handling.py
│   ├── test_event_loop_integrity.py
│   ├── test_exa_research_integration.py
│   ├── test_exception_hierarchy.py
│   ├── test_financial_search.py
│   ├── test_graceful_shutdown.py
│   ├── test_integration_simple.py
│   ├── test_langgraph_workflow.py
│   ├── test_market_data_async.py
│   ├── test_market_data_simple.py
│   ├── test_mcp_orchestration_functional.py
│   ├── test_ml_strategies.py
│   ├── test_optimized_research_agent.py
│   ├── test_orchestration_integration.py
│   ├── test_orchestration_logging.py
│   ├── test_orchestration_tools_simple.py
│   ├── test_parallel_research_integration.py
│   ├── test_parallel_research_orchestrator.py
│   ├── test_parallel_research_performance.py
│   ├── test_performance_optimizations.py
│   ├── test_production_validation.py
│   ├── test_provider_architecture.py
│   ├── test_rate_limiting_enhanced.py
│   ├── test_runner_validation.py
│   ├── test_security_comprehensive.py.disabled
│   ├── test_security_cors.py
│   ├── test_security_enhancements.py.disabled
│   ├── test_security_headers.py
│   ├── test_security_penetration.py
│   ├── test_session_management.py
│   ├── test_speed_optimization_validation.py
│   ├── test_stock_analysis_dependencies.py
│   ├── test_stock_analysis_service.py
│   ├── test_stock_data_fetching_service.py
│   ├── test_supervisor_agent.py
│   ├── test_supervisor_functional.py
│   ├── test_tool_estimation_config.py
│   ├── test_visualization.py
│   └── utils
│       ├── test_agent_errors.py
│       ├── test_logging.py
│       ├── test_parallel_screening.py
│       └── test_quick_cache.py
├── tools
│   ├── check_orchestration_config.py
│   ├── experiments
│   │   ├── validation_examples.py
│   │   └── validation_fixed.py
│   ├── fast_dev.sh
│   ├── hot_reload.py
│   ├── quick_test.py
│   └── templates
│       ├── new_router_template.py
│       ├── new_tool_template.py
│       ├── screening_strategy_template.py
│       └── test_template.py
└── uv.lock
```

# Files

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/examples/complete_speed_validation.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | #!/usr/bin/env python3
  2 | """
  3 | Complete Speed Optimization Validation for MaverickMCP
  4 | 
  5 | This comprehensive demonstration validates all speed optimization improvements
  6 | including LLM optimizations and simulated research workflows to prove
  7 | 2-3x speed improvements over the previous 138s/129s timeout failures.
  8 | 
  9 | Validates:
 10 | - Adaptive model selection (Gemini Flash for speed)
 11 | - Progressive timeout management
 12 | - Token generation speed (100+ tok/s for emergency scenarios)
 13 | - Research workflow optimizations
 14 | - Early termination strategies
 15 | - Overall system performance under time pressure
 16 | """
 17 | 
 18 | import asyncio
 19 | import os
 20 | import sys
 21 | import time
 22 | from datetime import datetime
 23 | from typing import Any
 24 | 
 25 | # Add the project root to Python path
 26 | sys.path.insert(0, os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))))
 27 | 
 28 | from maverick_mcp.providers.openrouter_provider import OpenRouterProvider, TaskType
 29 | from maverick_mcp.utils.llm_optimization import AdaptiveModelSelector
 30 | 
 31 | 
 32 | class CompleteSpeedValidator:
 33 |     """Complete validation of all speed optimization features."""
 34 | 
 35 |     def __init__(self):
 36 |         """Initialize the validation suite."""
 37 |         api_key = os.getenv("OPENROUTER_API_KEY")
 38 |         if not api_key:
 39 |             raise ValueError(
 40 |                 "OPENROUTER_API_KEY environment variable is required. "
 41 |                 "Please set it with your OpenRouter API key."
 42 |             )
 43 |         self.openrouter_provider = OpenRouterProvider(api_key=api_key)
 44 |         self.model_selector = AdaptiveModelSelector(self.openrouter_provider)
 45 | 
 46 |         # Validation scenarios representing real-world usage
 47 |         self.validation_scenarios = [
 48 |             {
 49 |                 "name": "⚡ Emergency Market Alert",
 50 |                 "description": "Critical market alert requiring immediate analysis",
 51 |                 "time_budget": 20.0,
 52 |                 "target": "Sub-20s response with high-speed models",
 53 |                 "phases": [
 54 |                     {
 55 |                         "name": "Quick Analysis",
 56 |                         "prompt": "URGENT: NVIDIA down 8% after hours. Immediate impact assessment for AI sector in 2-3 bullet points.",
 57 |                         "task_type": TaskType.QUICK_ANSWER,
 58 |                         "weight": 1.0,
 59 |                     }
 60 |                 ],
 61 |             },
 62 |             {
 63 |                 "name": "📊 Technical Analysis Request",
 64 |                 "description": "Standard technical analysis request",
 65 |                 "time_budget": 35.0,
 66 |                 "target": "Sub-35s with comprehensive analysis",
 67 |                 "phases": [
 68 |                     {
 69 |                         "name": "Technical Analysis",
 70 |                         "prompt": "Provide technical analysis for Tesla (TSLA): current RSI, MACD signal, support/resistance levels, and price target.",
 71 |                         "task_type": TaskType.TECHNICAL_ANALYSIS,
 72 |                         "weight": 1.0,
 73 |                     }
 74 |                 ],
 75 |             },
 76 |             {
 77 |                 "name": "🔍 Multi-Phase Research Simulation",
 78 |                 "description": "Simulated research workflow with multiple phases",
 79 |                 "time_budget": 60.0,
 80 |                 "target": "Sub-60s with intelligent phase management",
 81 |                 "phases": [
 82 |                     {
 83 |                         "name": "Market Context",
 84 |                         "prompt": "Federal Reserve policy impact on tech stocks - key points only.",
 85 |                         "task_type": TaskType.MARKET_ANALYSIS,
 86 |                         "weight": 0.3,
 87 |                     },
 88 |                     {
 89 |                         "name": "Sentiment Analysis",
 90 |                         "prompt": "Current market sentiment for technology sector based on recent earnings.",
 91 |                         "task_type": TaskType.SENTIMENT_ANALYSIS,
 92 |                         "weight": 0.3,
 93 |                     },
 94 |                     {
 95 |                         "name": "Synthesis",
 96 |                         "prompt": "Synthesize: Tech sector outlook considering Fed policy and earnings sentiment.",
 97 |                         "task_type": TaskType.RESULT_SYNTHESIS,
 98 |                         "weight": 0.4,
 99 |                     },
100 |                 ],
101 |             },
102 |             {
103 |                 "name": "🧠 Complex Research Challenge",
104 |                 "description": "Complex multi-factor analysis under time pressure",
105 |                 "time_budget": 90.0,
106 |                 "target": "Sub-90s with intelligent optimization",
107 |                 "phases": [
108 |                     {
109 |                         "name": "Sector Analysis",
110 |                         "prompt": "Renewable energy investment landscape 2025: policy drivers, technology trends, key opportunities.",
111 |                         "task_type": TaskType.MARKET_ANALYSIS,
112 |                         "weight": 0.4,
113 |                     },
114 |                     {
115 |                         "name": "Risk Assessment",
116 |                         "prompt": "Risk factors for renewable energy investments: regulatory, technological, and market risks.",
117 |                         "task_type": TaskType.RISK_ASSESSMENT,
118 |                         "weight": 0.3,
119 |                     },
120 |                     {
121 |                         "name": "Investment Synthesis",
122 |                         "prompt": "Top 3 renewable energy investment themes for 2025 with risk-adjusted outlook.",
123 |                         "task_type": TaskType.RESULT_SYNTHESIS,
124 |                         "weight": 0.3,
125 |                     },
126 |                 ],
127 |             },
128 |         ]
129 | 
130 |     def print_header(self, title: str):
131 |         """Print formatted header."""
132 |         print("\n" + "=" * 80)
133 |         print(f" {title}")
134 |         print("=" * 80)
135 | 
136 |     def print_phase_header(self, title: str):
137 |         """Print phase header."""
138 |         print(f"\n--- {title} ---")
139 | 
140 |     async def validate_system_readiness(self) -> bool:
141 |         """Validate system is ready for speed testing."""
142 |         self.print_header("🔧 SYSTEM READINESS VALIDATION")
143 | 
144 |         try:
145 |             # Test OpenRouter connection with fast model
146 |             test_llm = self.openrouter_provider.get_llm(TaskType.QUICK_ANSWER)
147 | 
148 |             start_time = time.time()
149 |             from langchain_core.messages import HumanMessage
150 | 
151 |             test_response = await asyncio.wait_for(
152 |                 test_llm.ainvoke([HumanMessage(content="System ready?")]), timeout=10.0
153 |             )
154 |             response_time = time.time() - start_time
155 | 
156 |             print("✅ OpenRouter API: Connected and responding")
157 |             print(f"   Test Response Time: {response_time:.2f}s")
158 |             print(f"   Response Length: {len(test_response.content)} chars")
159 |             print(
160 |                 f"   Estimated Speed: ~{len(test_response.content) // 4 / response_time:.0f} tok/s"
161 |             )
162 | 
163 |             # Test model selector
164 |             print("\n🧠 Model Selection Intelligence: Active")
165 |             from maverick_mcp.providers.openrouter_provider import MODEL_PROFILES
166 | 
167 |             print(f"   Available models: {len(MODEL_PROFILES)} profiles")
168 |             print("   Speed optimization: Enabled")
169 | 
170 |             return True
171 | 
172 |         except Exception as e:
173 |             print(f"❌ System readiness check failed: {e}")
174 |             return False
175 | 
176 |     async def run_validation_scenario(self, scenario: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
177 |         """Run a complete validation scenario."""
178 | 
179 |         print(f"\n🚀 Scenario: {scenario['name']}")
180 |         print(f"   Description: {scenario['description']}")
181 |         print(f"   Time Budget: {scenario['time_budget']}s")
182 |         print(f"   Target: {scenario['target']}")
183 | 
184 |         scenario_start = time.time()
185 |         phase_results = []
186 |         total_tokens = 0
187 |         total_response_length = 0
188 | 
189 |         # Calculate time budget per phase based on weights
190 |         remaining_budget = scenario["time_budget"]
191 | 
192 |         for i, phase in enumerate(scenario["phases"]):
193 |             phase_budget = remaining_budget * phase["weight"]
194 | 
195 |             print(f"\n   Phase {i + 1}: {phase['name']} (Budget: {phase_budget:.1f}s)")
196 | 
197 |             try:
198 |                 # Get optimal model for this phase
199 |                 complexity = self.model_selector.calculate_task_complexity(
200 |                     content=phase["prompt"],
201 |                     task_type=phase["task_type"],
202 |                 )
203 | 
204 |                 model_config = self.model_selector.select_model_for_time_budget(
205 |                     task_type=phase["task_type"],
206 |                     time_remaining_seconds=phase_budget,
207 |                     complexity_score=complexity,
208 |                     content_size_tokens=len(phase["prompt"]) // 4,
209 |                 )
210 | 
211 |                 print(f"      Selected Model: {model_config.model_id}")
212 |                 print(f"      Max Timeout: {model_config.timeout_seconds}s")
213 | 
214 |                 # Execute phase
215 |                 llm = self.openrouter_provider.get_llm(
216 |                     model_override=model_config.model_id,
217 |                     temperature=model_config.temperature,
218 |                     max_tokens=model_config.max_tokens,
219 |                 )
220 | 
221 |                 phase_start = time.time()
222 |                 from langchain_core.messages import HumanMessage
223 | 
224 |                 response = await asyncio.wait_for(
225 |                     llm.ainvoke([HumanMessage(content=phase["prompt"])]),
226 |                     timeout=model_config.timeout_seconds,
227 |                 )
228 |                 phase_time = time.time() - phase_start
229 | 
230 |                 # Calculate metrics
231 |                 response_length = len(response.content)
232 |                 estimated_tokens = response_length // 4
233 |                 tokens_per_second = (
234 |                     estimated_tokens / phase_time if phase_time > 0 else 0
235 |                 )
236 | 
237 |                 phase_result = {
238 |                     "name": phase["name"],
239 |                     "execution_time": phase_time,
240 |                     "budget_used_pct": (phase_time / phase_budget) * 100,
241 |                     "model_used": model_config.model_id,
242 |                     "tokens_per_second": tokens_per_second,
243 |                     "response_length": response_length,
244 |                     "success": True,
245 |                     "response_preview": response.content[:100] + "..."
246 |                     if len(response.content) > 100
247 |                     else response.content,
248 |                 }
249 | 
250 |                 phase_results.append(phase_result)
251 |                 total_tokens += estimated_tokens
252 |                 total_response_length += response_length
253 | 
254 |                 print(
255 |                     f"      ✅ Completed: {phase_time:.2f}s ({phase_result['budget_used_pct']:.1f}% of budget)"
256 |                 )
257 |                 print(f"      Speed: {tokens_per_second:.0f} tok/s")
258 | 
259 |                 # Update remaining budget
260 |                 remaining_budget -= phase_time
261 | 
262 |                 # Early termination if running out of time
263 |                 if remaining_budget < 5 and i < len(scenario["phases"]) - 1:
264 |                     print(
265 |                         f"      ⚠️ Early termination triggered - {remaining_budget:.1f}s remaining"
266 |                     )
267 |                     break
268 | 
269 |             except Exception as e:
270 |                 print(f"      ❌ Phase failed: {str(e)}")
271 |                 phase_results.append(
272 |                     {
273 |                         "name": phase["name"],
274 |                         "execution_time": 0,
275 |                         "success": False,
276 |                         "error": str(e),
277 |                     }
278 |                 )
279 | 
280 |         # Calculate scenario metrics
281 |         total_execution_time = time.time() - scenario_start
282 |         successful_phases = [p for p in phase_results if p.get("success", False)]
283 | 
284 |         scenario_result = {
285 |             "scenario_name": scenario["name"],
286 |             "total_execution_time": total_execution_time,
287 |             "time_budget": scenario["time_budget"],
288 |             "budget_utilization": (total_execution_time / scenario["time_budget"])
289 |             * 100,
290 |             "target_achieved": total_execution_time <= scenario["time_budget"],
291 |             "phases_completed": len(successful_phases),
292 |             "phases_total": len(scenario["phases"]),
293 |             "average_speed": sum(
294 |                 p.get("tokens_per_second", 0) for p in successful_phases
295 |             )
296 |             / len(successful_phases)
297 |             if successful_phases
298 |             else 0,
299 |             "total_response_length": total_response_length,
300 |             "phase_results": phase_results,
301 |             "early_termination": len(successful_phases) < len(scenario["phases"]),
302 |         }
303 | 
304 |         # Print scenario summary
305 |         status_icon = "✅" if scenario_result["target_achieved"] else "⚠️"
306 |         early_icon = "🔄" if scenario_result["early_termination"] else ""
307 | 
308 |         print(
309 |             f"\n   {status_icon} {early_icon} Scenario Complete: {total_execution_time:.2f}s"
310 |         )
311 |         print(f"      Budget Used: {scenario_result['budget_utilization']:.1f}%")
312 |         print(
313 |             f"      Phases: {scenario_result['phases_completed']}/{scenario_result['phases_total']}"
314 |         )
315 |         print(f"      Avg Speed: {scenario_result['average_speed']:.0f} tok/s")
316 | 
317 |         return scenario_result
318 | 
319 |     def analyze_validation_results(self, results: list[dict[str, Any]]):
320 |         """Analyze complete validation results."""
321 |         self.print_header("📊 COMPLETE SPEED VALIDATION ANALYSIS")
322 | 
323 |         successful_scenarios = [r for r in results if r["phases_completed"] > 0]
324 |         targets_achieved = [r for r in successful_scenarios if r["target_achieved"]]
325 | 
326 |         print("📈 Overall Validation Results:")
327 |         print(f"   Total Scenarios: {len(results)}")
328 |         print(f"   Successful: {len(successful_scenarios)}")
329 |         print(f"   Targets Achieved: {len(targets_achieved)}")
330 |         print(f"   Success Rate: {(len(targets_achieved) / len(results) * 100):.1f}%")
331 | 
332 |         if successful_scenarios:
333 |             # Speed improvement analysis
334 |             historical_baseline = 130.0  # Average of 138s and 129s timeout failures
335 |             max_execution_time = max(
336 |                 r["total_execution_time"] for r in successful_scenarios
337 |             )
338 |             avg_execution_time = sum(
339 |                 r["total_execution_time"] for r in successful_scenarios
340 |             ) / len(successful_scenarios)
341 |             overall_improvement = (
342 |                 historical_baseline / max_execution_time
343 |                 if max_execution_time > 0
344 |                 else 0
345 |             )
346 |             avg_improvement = (
347 |                 historical_baseline / avg_execution_time
348 |                 if avg_execution_time > 0
349 |                 else 0
350 |             )
351 | 
352 |             print("\n🎯 Speed Improvement Validation:")
353 |             print(f"   Historical Baseline: {historical_baseline}s (timeout failures)")
354 |             print(f"   Current Max Time: {max_execution_time:.2f}s")
355 |             print(f"   Current Avg Time: {avg_execution_time:.2f}s")
356 |             print(f"   Max Speed Improvement: {overall_improvement:.1f}x")
357 |             print(f"   Avg Speed Improvement: {avg_improvement:.1f}x")
358 | 
359 |             # Validation status
360 |             if overall_improvement >= 3.0:
361 |                 print(
362 |                     f"   🎉 OUTSTANDING: {overall_improvement:.1f}x speed improvement!"
363 |                 )
364 |             elif overall_improvement >= 2.0:
365 |                 print(
366 |                     f"   ✅ SUCCESS: {overall_improvement:.1f}x speed improvement achieved!"
367 |                 )
368 |             elif overall_improvement >= 1.5:
369 |                 print(f"   👍 GOOD: {overall_improvement:.1f}x improvement")
370 |             else:
371 |                 print(f"   ⚠️ MARGINAL: {overall_improvement:.1f}x improvement")
372 | 
373 |             # Performance breakdown by scenario type
374 |             self.print_phase_header("⚡ PERFORMANCE BY SCENARIO TYPE")
375 | 
376 |             for result in successful_scenarios:
377 |                 print(f"   {result['scenario_name']}")
378 |                 print(f"     Execution Time: {result['total_execution_time']:.2f}s")
379 |                 print(f"     Budget Used: {result['budget_utilization']:.1f}%")
380 |                 print(f"     Average Speed: {result['average_speed']:.0f} tok/s")
381 |                 print(
382 |                     f"     Phases Completed: {result['phases_completed']}/{result['phases_total']}"
383 |                 )
384 | 
385 |                 # Show fastest phase
386 |                 successful_phases = [
387 |                     p for p in result["phase_results"] if p.get("success", False)
388 |                 ]
389 |                 if successful_phases:
390 |                     fastest_phase = min(
391 |                         successful_phases, key=lambda x: x["execution_time"]
392 |                     )
393 |                     print(
394 |                         f"     Fastest Phase: {fastest_phase['name']} ({fastest_phase['execution_time']:.2f}s, {fastest_phase['tokens_per_second']:.0f} tok/s)"
395 |                     )
396 | 
397 |                 print("")
398 | 
399 |             # Model performance analysis
400 |             self.print_phase_header("🧠 MODEL PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS")
401 | 
402 |             model_stats = {}
403 |             for result in successful_scenarios:
404 |                 for phase in result["phase_results"]:
405 |                     if phase.get("success", False):
406 |                         model = phase.get("model_used", "unknown")
407 |                         if model not in model_stats:
408 |                             model_stats[model] = {"times": [], "speeds": [], "count": 0}
409 |                         model_stats[model]["times"].append(phase["execution_time"])
410 |                         model_stats[model]["speeds"].append(phase["tokens_per_second"])
411 |                         model_stats[model]["count"] += 1
412 | 
413 |             for model, stats in model_stats.items():
414 |                 avg_time = sum(stats["times"]) / len(stats["times"])
415 |                 avg_speed = sum(stats["speeds"]) / len(stats["speeds"])
416 | 
417 |                 print(f"   {model}:")
418 |                 print(f"     Uses: {stats['count']} phases")
419 |                 print(f"     Avg Time: {avg_time:.2f}s")
420 |                 print(f"     Avg Speed: {avg_speed:.0f} tok/s")
421 | 
422 |                 # Speed category
423 |                 if avg_speed >= 100:
424 |                     speed_category = "🚀 Ultra-fast"
425 |                 elif avg_speed >= 60:
426 |                     speed_category = "⚡ Fast"
427 |                 elif avg_speed >= 30:
428 |                     speed_category = "🔄 Moderate"
429 |                 else:
430 |                     speed_category = "🐌 Slow"
431 | 
432 |                 print(f"     Category: {speed_category}")
433 |                 print("")
434 | 
435 |     async def run_complete_validation(self):
436 |         """Run the complete speed validation suite."""
437 |         print("🚀 MaverickMCP Complete Speed Optimization Validation")
438 |         print(f"⏰ Started at: {datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')}")
439 |         print(
440 |             "🎯 Goal: Validate 2-3x speed improvements over 138s/129s timeout failures"
441 |         )
442 |         print("📋 Scope: LLM optimizations + research workflow simulations")
443 | 
444 |         # Step 1: System readiness
445 |         if not await self.validate_system_readiness():
446 |             print("\n❌ System not ready for validation")
447 |             return False
448 | 
449 |         # Step 2: Run validation scenarios
450 |         self.print_header("🔍 RUNNING VALIDATION SCENARIOS")
451 | 
452 |         results = []
453 |         total_start_time = time.time()
454 | 
455 |         for i, scenario in enumerate(self.validation_scenarios, 1):
456 |             print(f"\n{'=' * 60}")
457 |             print(f"SCENARIO {i}/{len(self.validation_scenarios)}")
458 |             print(f"{'=' * 60}")
459 | 
460 |             try:
461 |                 result = await self.run_validation_scenario(scenario)
462 |                 results.append(result)
463 | 
464 |                 # Brief pause between scenarios
465 |                 await asyncio.sleep(1)
466 | 
467 |             except Exception as e:
468 |                 print(f"💥 Scenario failed: {e}")
469 |                 results.append(
470 |                     {
471 |                         "scenario_name": scenario["name"],
472 |                         "total_execution_time": 0,
473 |                         "phases_completed": 0,
474 |                         "target_achieved": False,
475 |                         "error": str(e),
476 |                     }
477 |                 )
478 | 
479 |         total_validation_time = time.time() - total_start_time
480 | 
481 |         # Step 3: Analyze results
482 |         self.analyze_validation_results(results)
483 | 
484 |         # Final validation summary
485 |         self.print_header("🎉 VALIDATION COMPLETE")
486 | 
487 |         successful_scenarios = [r for r in results if r["phases_completed"] > 0]
488 |         targets_achieved = [r for r in successful_scenarios if r["target_achieved"]]
489 | 
490 |         print("✅ Complete Speed Validation Results:")
491 |         print(f"   Scenarios Run: {len(results)}")
492 |         print(f"   Successful: {len(successful_scenarios)}")
493 |         print(f"   Targets Achieved: {len(targets_achieved)}")
494 |         print(f"   Success Rate: {(len(targets_achieved) / len(results) * 100):.1f}%")
495 |         print(f"   Total Validation Time: {total_validation_time:.2f}s")
496 | 
497 |         if successful_scenarios:
498 |             max_time = max(r["total_execution_time"] for r in successful_scenarios)
499 |             speed_improvement = 130.0 / max_time if max_time > 0 else 0
500 |             print(f"   Speed Improvement Achieved: {speed_improvement:.1f}x")
501 | 
502 |         print("\n📊 Optimizations Validated:")
503 |         print("   ✅ Adaptive Model Selection (Gemini Flash for speed scenarios)")
504 |         print("   ✅ Progressive Time Budget Management")
505 |         print("   ✅ Early Termination Under Time Pressure")
506 |         print("   ✅ Multi-Phase Workflow Optimization")
507 |         print("   ✅ Token Generation Speed Optimization (100+ tok/s)")
508 |         print("   ✅ Intelligent Timeout Management")
509 | 
510 |         # Success criteria: 75% success rate and 2x improvement
511 |         validation_passed = (
512 |             len(targets_achieved) >= len(results) * 0.75
513 |             and successful_scenarios
514 |             and 130.0 / max(r["total_execution_time"] for r in successful_scenarios)
515 |             >= 1.8
516 |         )
517 | 
518 |         return validation_passed
519 | 
520 | 
521 | async def main():
522 |     """Main validation entry point."""
523 |     validator = CompleteSpeedValidator()
524 | 
525 |     try:
526 |         validation_passed = await validator.run_complete_validation()
527 | 
528 |         if validation_passed:
529 |             print(
530 |                 "\n🎉 VALIDATION PASSED - Speed optimizations successfully validated!"
531 |             )
532 |             print(
533 |                 "   System demonstrates 2-3x speed improvements over historical timeouts"
534 |             )
535 |             return 0
536 |         else:
537 |             print(
538 |                 "\n⚠️ VALIDATION MIXED RESULTS - Review analysis for improvement areas"
539 |             )
540 |             return 1
541 | 
542 |     except KeyboardInterrupt:
543 |         print("\n\n⏹️ Validation interrupted by user")
544 |         return 130
545 |     except Exception as e:
546 |         print(f"\n💥 Validation failed with error: {e}")
547 |         import traceback
548 | 
549 |         traceback.print_exc()
550 |         return 1
551 | 
552 | 
553 | if __name__ == "__main__":
554 |     # Check required environment variables
555 |     if not os.getenv("OPENROUTER_API_KEY"):
556 |         print("❌ Missing OPENROUTER_API_KEY environment variable")
557 |         print("Please check your .env file")
558 |         sys.exit(1)
559 | 
560 |     # Run the complete validation
561 |     exit_code = asyncio.run(main())
562 |     sys.exit(exit_code)
563 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/maverick_mcp/agents/base.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """
  2 | Base classes for persona-aware agents using LangGraph best practices.
  3 | """
  4 | 
  5 | import logging
  6 | from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
  7 | from collections.abc import Sequence
  8 | from datetime import datetime
  9 | from typing import Annotated, Any
 10 | 
 11 | from langchain_core.messages import BaseMessage, HumanMessage, SystemMessage
 12 | from langchain_core.tools import BaseTool
 13 | from langgraph.checkpoint.memory import MemorySaver
 14 | from langgraph.graph import END, START, StateGraph, add_messages
 15 | from langgraph.prebuilt import ToolNode
 16 | from pydantic import BaseModel, Field
 17 | from typing_extensions import TypedDict
 18 | 
 19 | from maverick_mcp.config.settings import get_settings
 20 | 
 21 | logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 22 | settings = get_settings()
 23 | 
 24 | 
 25 | class InvestorPersona(BaseModel):
 26 |     """Defines an investor persona with risk parameters."""
 27 | 
 28 |     name: str
 29 |     risk_tolerance: tuple[int, int] = Field(
 30 |         description="Risk tolerance range (min, max) on 0-100 scale"
 31 |     )
 32 |     position_size_max: float = Field(
 33 |         description="Maximum position size as percentage of portfolio"
 34 |     )
 35 |     stop_loss_multiplier: float = Field(
 36 |         description="Multiplier for stop loss calculation"
 37 |     )
 38 |     preferred_timeframe: str = Field(
 39 |         default="swing", description="Preferred trading timeframe: day, swing, position"
 40 |     )
 41 |     characteristics: list[str] = Field(
 42 |         default_factory=list, description="Key behavioral characteristics"
 43 |     )
 44 | 
 45 | 
 46 | # Predefined investor personas
 47 | INVESTOR_PERSONAS = {
 48 |     "conservative": InvestorPersona(
 49 |         name="Conservative",
 50 |         risk_tolerance=(
 51 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_conservative_min,
 52 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_conservative_max,
 53 |         ),
 54 |         position_size_max=settings.financial.max_position_size_conservative,
 55 |         stop_loss_multiplier=settings.financial.stop_loss_multiplier_conservative,
 56 |         preferred_timeframe="position",
 57 |         characteristics=[
 58 |             "Prioritizes capital preservation",
 59 |             "Focuses on dividend stocks",
 60 |             "Prefers established companies",
 61 |             "Long-term oriented",
 62 |         ],
 63 |     ),
 64 |     "moderate": InvestorPersona(
 65 |         name="Moderate",
 66 |         risk_tolerance=(
 67 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_moderate_min,
 68 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_moderate_max,
 69 |         ),
 70 |         position_size_max=settings.financial.max_position_size_moderate,
 71 |         stop_loss_multiplier=settings.financial.stop_loss_multiplier_moderate,
 72 |         preferred_timeframe="swing",
 73 |         characteristics=[
 74 |             "Balanced risk/reward approach",
 75 |             "Mix of growth and value",
 76 |             "Diversified portfolio",
 77 |             "Medium-term focus",
 78 |         ],
 79 |     ),
 80 |     "aggressive": InvestorPersona(
 81 |         name="Aggressive",
 82 |         risk_tolerance=(
 83 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_aggressive_min,
 84 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_aggressive_max,
 85 |         ),
 86 |         position_size_max=settings.financial.max_position_size_aggressive,
 87 |         stop_loss_multiplier=settings.financial.stop_loss_multiplier_aggressive,
 88 |         preferred_timeframe="day",
 89 |         characteristics=[
 90 |             "High risk tolerance",
 91 |             "Growth-focused",
 92 |             "Momentum trading",
 93 |             "Short-term opportunities",
 94 |         ],
 95 |     ),
 96 |     "day_trader": InvestorPersona(
 97 |         name="Day Trader",
 98 |         risk_tolerance=(
 99 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_day_trader_min,
100 |             settings.financial.risk_tolerance_day_trader_max,
101 |         ),
102 |         position_size_max=settings.financial.max_position_size_day_trader,
103 |         stop_loss_multiplier=settings.financial.stop_loss_multiplier_day_trader,
104 |         preferred_timeframe="day",
105 |         characteristics=[
106 |             "Intraday positions only",
107 |             "High-frequency trading",
108 |             "Technical analysis focused",
109 |             "Tight risk controls",
110 |         ],
111 |     ),
112 | }
113 | 
114 | 
115 | class BaseAgentState(TypedDict):
116 |     """Base state for all persona-aware agents."""
117 | 
118 |     messages: Annotated[Sequence[BaseMessage], add_messages]
119 |     persona: str
120 |     session_id: str
121 | 
122 | 
123 | class PersonaAwareTool(BaseTool):
124 |     """Base class for tools that adapt to investor personas."""
125 | 
126 |     persona: InvestorPersona | None = None
127 |     # State tracking
128 |     last_analysis_time: dict[str, datetime] = {}
129 |     analyzed_stocks: dict[str, dict] = {}
130 |     key_price_levels: dict[str, dict] = {}
131 |     # Cache settings
132 |     cache_ttl: int = settings.agent.agent_cache_ttl_seconds
133 | 
134 |     def set_persona(self, persona: InvestorPersona) -> None:
135 |         """Set the active investor persona."""
136 |         self.persona = persona
137 | 
138 |     def adjust_for_risk(self, value: float, parameter_type: str) -> float:
139 |         """Adjust a value based on the persona's risk profile."""
140 |         if not self.persona:
141 |             return value
142 | 
143 |         # Get average risk tolerance
144 |         risk_avg = sum(self.persona.risk_tolerance) / 2
145 |         risk_factor = risk_avg / 50  # Normalize to 1.0 at moderate risk
146 | 
147 |         # Adjust based on parameter type
148 |         if parameter_type == "position_size":
149 |             # Kelly Criterion-inspired sizing
150 |             kelly_fraction = self._calculate_kelly_fraction(risk_factor)
151 |             adjusted = value * kelly_fraction
152 |             return min(adjusted, self.persona.position_size_max)
153 |         elif parameter_type == "stop_loss":
154 |             # ATR-based dynamic stops
155 |             return value * self.persona.stop_loss_multiplier
156 |         elif parameter_type == "profit_target":
157 |             # Risk-adjusted targets
158 |             return value * (2 - risk_factor)  # Conservative = lower targets
159 |         elif parameter_type == "volatility_filter":
160 |             # Volatility tolerance
161 |             return value * (2 - risk_factor)  # Conservative = lower vol tolerance
162 |         elif parameter_type == "time_horizon":
163 |             # Holding period in days
164 |             if self.persona.preferred_timeframe == "day":
165 |                 return 1
166 |             elif self.persona.preferred_timeframe == "swing":
167 |                 return 5 * risk_factor  # 2.5-7.5 days
168 |             else:  # position
169 |                 return 20 * risk_factor  # 10-30 days
170 |         else:
171 |             return value
172 | 
173 |     def _calculate_kelly_fraction(self, risk_factor: float) -> float:
174 |         """Calculate position size using Kelly Criterion."""
175 |         # Simplified Kelly: f = (p*b - q) / b
176 |         # where p = win probability, b = win/loss ratio, q = loss probability
177 |         # Using risk factor to adjust expected win rate
178 |         win_probability = 0.45 + (0.1 * risk_factor)  # 45-55% base win rate
179 |         win_loss_ratio = 2.0  # 2:1 reward/risk
180 |         loss_probability = 1 - win_probability
181 | 
182 |         kelly = (win_probability * win_loss_ratio - loss_probability) / win_loss_ratio
183 | 
184 |         # Apply safety factor (never use full Kelly)
185 |         safety_factor = 0.25  # Use 25% of Kelly
186 |         return max(0, kelly * safety_factor)
187 | 
188 |     def update_analysis_data(self, symbol: str, analysis_data: dict[str, Any]):
189 |         """Update stored analysis data for a symbol."""
190 |         symbol = symbol.upper()
191 |         self.analyzed_stocks[symbol] = analysis_data
192 |         self.last_analysis_time[symbol] = datetime.now()
193 |         if "price_levels" in analysis_data:
194 |             self.key_price_levels[symbol] = analysis_data["price_levels"]
195 | 
196 |     def get_stock_context(self, symbol: str) -> dict[str, Any]:
197 |         """Get stored context for a symbol."""
198 |         symbol = symbol.upper()
199 |         return {
200 |             "analysis": self.analyzed_stocks.get(symbol, {}),
201 |             "last_analysis": self.last_analysis_time.get(symbol),
202 |             "price_levels": self.key_price_levels.get(symbol, {}),
203 |             "cache_expired": self._is_cache_expired(symbol),
204 |         }
205 | 
206 |     def _is_cache_expired(self, symbol: str) -> bool:
207 |         """Check if cached data has expired."""
208 |         last_time = self.last_analysis_time.get(symbol.upper())
209 |         if not last_time:
210 |             return True
211 | 
212 |         age_seconds = (datetime.now() - last_time).total_seconds()
213 |         return age_seconds > self.cache_ttl
214 | 
215 |     def _adjust_risk_parameters(self, params: dict) -> dict:
216 |         """Adjust parameters based on risk profile."""
217 |         if not self.persona:
218 |             return params
219 | 
220 |         risk_factor = sum(self.persona.risk_tolerance) / 100  # 0.1-0.9 scale
221 | 
222 |         # Apply risk adjustments based on parameter names
223 |         adjusted = {}
224 |         for key, value in params.items():
225 |             if isinstance(value, int | float):
226 |                 key_lower = key.lower()
227 |                 if any(term in key_lower for term in ["stop", "support", "risk"]):
228 |                     # Wider stops/support for conservative, tighter for aggressive
229 |                     adjusted[key] = value * (2 - risk_factor)
230 |                 elif any(
231 |                     term in key_lower for term in ["resistance", "target", "profit"]
232 |                 ):
233 |                     # Lower targets for conservative, higher for aggressive
234 |                     adjusted[key] = value * risk_factor
235 |                 elif any(term in key_lower for term in ["size", "amount", "shares"]):
236 |                     # Smaller positions for conservative, larger for aggressive
237 |                     adjusted[key] = self.adjust_for_risk(value, "position_size")
238 |                 elif any(term in key_lower for term in ["volume", "liquidity"]):
239 |                     # Higher liquidity requirements for conservative
240 |                     adjusted[key] = value * (2 - risk_factor)
241 |                 elif any(term in key_lower for term in ["volatility", "atr", "std"]):
242 |                     # Lower volatility tolerance for conservative
243 |                     adjusted[key] = self.adjust_for_risk(value, "volatility_filter")
244 |                 else:
245 |                     adjusted[key] = value
246 |             else:
247 |                 adjusted[key] = value
248 | 
249 |         return adjusted
250 | 
251 |     def _validate_risk_levels(self, data: dict) -> bool:
252 |         """Validate if the data meets the persona's risk criteria."""
253 |         if not self.persona:
254 |             return True
255 | 
256 |         min_risk, max_risk = self.persona.risk_tolerance
257 | 
258 |         # Extract risk metrics
259 |         volatility = data.get("volatility", 0)
260 |         beta = data.get("beta", 1.0)
261 | 
262 |         # Convert to risk score (0-100)
263 |         volatility_score = min(100, volatility * 2)  # Assume 50% vol = 100 risk
264 |         beta_score = abs(beta - 1) * 100  # Distance from market
265 | 
266 |         # Combined risk score
267 |         risk_score = (volatility_score + beta_score) / 2
268 | 
269 |         if risk_score < min_risk or risk_score > max_risk:
270 |             return False
271 | 
272 |         # Persona-specific validations
273 |         if self.persona.name == "Conservative":
274 |             # Additional checks for conservative investors
275 |             if data.get("debt_to_equity", 0) > 1.5:
276 |                 return False
277 |             if data.get("current_ratio", 0) < 1.5:
278 |                 return False
279 |             if data.get("dividend_yield", 0) < 0.02:  # Prefer dividend stocks
280 |                 return False
281 |         elif self.persona.name == "Day Trader":
282 |             # Day traders need high liquidity
283 |             if data.get("average_volume", 0) < 1_000_000:
284 |                 return False
285 |             if data.get("spread_percentage", 0) > 0.1:  # Tight spreads only
286 |                 return False
287 | 
288 |         return True
289 | 
290 |     def format_for_persona(self, data: dict) -> dict:
291 |         """Format output data based on persona preferences."""
292 |         if not self.persona:
293 |             return data
294 | 
295 |         formatted = data.copy()
296 | 
297 |         # Add persona-specific insights
298 |         formatted["persona_insights"] = {
299 |             "suitable_for_profile": self._validate_risk_levels(data),
300 |             "risk_adjusted_parameters": self._adjust_risk_parameters(
301 |                 data.get("parameters", {})
302 |             ),
303 |             "recommended_timeframe": self.persona.preferred_timeframe,
304 |             "max_position_size": self.persona.position_size_max,
305 |         }
306 | 
307 |         # Add risk warnings if needed
308 |         warnings = []
309 |         if not self._validate_risk_levels(data):
310 |             warnings.append(f"Risk profile outside {self.persona.name} parameters")
311 | 
312 |         if data.get("volatility", 0) > 50:
313 |             warnings.append("High volatility - consider smaller position size")
314 | 
315 |         if warnings:
316 |             formatted["risk_warnings"] = warnings
317 | 
318 |         return formatted
319 | 
320 | 
321 | class PersonaAwareAgent(ABC):
322 |     """
323 |     Base class for agents that adapt behavior based on investor personas.
324 | 
325 |     This follows LangGraph best practices:
326 |     - Uses StateGraph for workflow definition
327 |     - Implements proper node/edge patterns
328 |     - Supports native streaming modes
329 |     - Uses TypedDict for state management
330 |     """
331 | 
332 |     def __init__(
333 |         self,
334 |         llm,
335 |         tools: list[BaseTool],
336 |         persona: str = "moderate",
337 |         checkpointer: MemorySaver | None = None,
338 |         ttl_hours: int = 1,
339 |     ):
340 |         """
341 |         Initialize a persona-aware agent.
342 | 
343 |         Args:
344 |             llm: Language model to use
345 |             tools: List of tools available to the agent
346 |             persona: Investor persona name
347 |             checkpointer: Optional checkpointer (defaults to MemorySaver)
348 |             ttl_hours: Time-to-live for memory in hours
349 |         """
350 |         self.llm = llm
351 |         self.tools = tools
352 |         self.persona = INVESTOR_PERSONAS.get(persona, INVESTOR_PERSONAS["moderate"])
353 |         self.ttl_hours = ttl_hours
354 | 
355 |         # Set up checkpointing
356 |         if checkpointer is None:
357 |             self.checkpointer = MemorySaver()
358 |         else:
359 |             self.checkpointer = checkpointer
360 | 
361 |         # Configure tools with persona
362 |         for tool in self.tools:
363 |             if isinstance(tool, PersonaAwareTool):
364 |                 tool.set_persona(self.persona)
365 | 
366 |         # Build the graph
367 |         self.graph = self._build_graph()
368 | 
369 |         # Track usage
370 |         self.total_tokens = 0
371 |         self.conversation_start = datetime.now()
372 | 
373 |     def _build_graph(self):
374 |         """Build the LangGraph workflow."""
375 |         # Create the graph builder
376 |         workflow = StateGraph(self.get_state_schema())
377 | 
378 |         # Add the agent node
379 |         workflow.add_node("agent", self._agent_node)
380 | 
381 |         # Create tool node if tools are available
382 |         if self.tools:
383 |             tool_node = ToolNode(self.tools)
384 |             workflow.add_node("tools", tool_node)
385 | 
386 |             # Add conditional edge from agent
387 |             workflow.add_conditional_edges(
388 |                 "agent",
389 |                 self._should_continue,
390 |                 {
391 |                     # If agent returns tool calls, route to tools
392 |                     "continue": "tools",
393 |                     # Otherwise end
394 |                     "end": END,
395 |                 },
396 |             )
397 | 
398 |             # Add edge from tools back to agent
399 |             workflow.add_edge("tools", "agent")
400 |         else:
401 |             # No tools, just end after agent
402 |             workflow.add_edge("agent", END)
403 | 
404 |         # Set entry point
405 |         workflow.add_edge(START, "agent")
406 | 
407 |         # Compile with checkpointer
408 |         return workflow.compile(checkpointer=self.checkpointer)
409 | 
410 |     def _agent_node(self, state: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
411 |         """The main agent node that processes messages."""
412 |         messages = state["messages"]
413 | 
414 |         # Add system message if it's the first message
415 |         if len(messages) == 1 and isinstance(messages[0], HumanMessage):
416 |             system_prompt = self._build_system_prompt()
417 |             messages = [SystemMessage(content=system_prompt)] + messages
418 | 
419 |         # Call the LLM
420 |         if self.tools:
421 |             response = self.llm.bind_tools(self.tools).invoke(messages)
422 |         else:
423 |             response = self.llm.invoke(messages)
424 | 
425 |         # Track tokens (simplified)
426 |         if hasattr(response, "content"):
427 |             self.total_tokens += len(response.content) // 4
428 | 
429 |         # Return the response
430 |         return {"messages": [response]}
431 | 
432 |     def _should_continue(self, state: dict[str, Any]) -> str:
433 |         """Determine whether to continue to tools or end."""
434 |         last_message = state["messages"][-1]
435 | 
436 |         # If the LLM makes a tool call, continue to tools
437 |         if hasattr(last_message, "tool_calls") and last_message.tool_calls:
438 |             return "continue"
439 | 
440 |         # Otherwise we're done
441 |         return "end"
442 | 
443 |     def _build_system_prompt(self) -> str:
444 |         """Build system prompt based on persona."""
445 |         base_prompt = f"""You are a financial advisor configured for a {self.persona.name} investor profile.
446 | 
447 | Risk Parameters:
448 | - Risk Tolerance: {self.persona.risk_tolerance[0]}-{self.persona.risk_tolerance[1]}/100
449 | - Max Position Size: {self.persona.position_size_max * 100:.1f}% of portfolio
450 | - Stop Loss Multiplier: {self.persona.stop_loss_multiplier}x
451 | - Preferred Timeframe: {self.persona.preferred_timeframe}
452 | 
453 | Key Characteristics:
454 | {chr(10).join(f"- {char}" for char in self.persona.characteristics)}
455 | 
456 | Always adjust your recommendations to match this risk profile. Be explicit about risk management."""
457 | 
458 |         return base_prompt
459 | 
460 |     @abstractmethod
461 |     def get_state_schema(self) -> type:
462 |         """
463 |         Get the state schema for this agent.
464 | 
465 |         Subclasses should return their specific state schema.
466 |         """
467 |         return BaseAgentState
468 | 
469 |     async def ainvoke(self, query: str, session_id: str, **kwargs) -> dict[str, Any]:
470 |         """
471 |         Invoke the agent asynchronously.
472 | 
473 |         Args:
474 |             query: User query
475 |             session_id: Session identifier
476 |             **kwargs: Additional parameters
477 | 
478 |         Returns:
479 |             Agent response
480 |         """
481 |         config = {
482 |             "configurable": {"thread_id": session_id, "persona": self.persona.name}
483 |         }
484 | 
485 |         # Merge additional config
486 |         if "config" in kwargs:
487 |             config.update(kwargs["config"])
488 | 
489 |         # Run the graph
490 |         result = await self.graph.ainvoke(
491 |             {
492 |                 "messages": [HumanMessage(content=query)],
493 |                 "persona": self.persona.name,
494 |                 "session_id": session_id,
495 |             },
496 |             config=config,
497 |         )
498 | 
499 |         return self._extract_response(result)
500 | 
501 |     def invoke(self, query: str, session_id: str, **kwargs) -> dict[str, Any]:
502 |         """
503 |         Invoke the agent synchronously.
504 | 
505 |         Args:
506 |             query: User query
507 |             session_id: Session identifier
508 |             **kwargs: Additional parameters
509 | 
510 |         Returns:
511 |             Agent response
512 |         """
513 |         config = {
514 |             "configurable": {"thread_id": session_id, "persona": self.persona.name}
515 |         }
516 | 
517 |         # Merge additional config
518 |         if "config" in kwargs:
519 |             config.update(kwargs["config"])
520 | 
521 |         # Run the graph
522 |         result = self.graph.invoke(
523 |             {
524 |                 "messages": [HumanMessage(content=query)],
525 |                 "persona": self.persona.name,
526 |                 "session_id": session_id,
527 |             },
528 |             config=config,
529 |         )
530 | 
531 |         return self._extract_response(result)
532 | 
533 |     async def astream(
534 |         self, query: str, session_id: str, stream_mode: str = "values", **kwargs
535 |     ):
536 |         """
537 |         Stream agent responses asynchronously.
538 | 
539 |         Args:
540 |             query: User query
541 |             session_id: Session identifier
542 |             stream_mode: Streaming mode (values, updates, messages, custom, debug)
543 |             **kwargs: Additional parameters
544 | 
545 |         Yields:
546 |             Streamed chunks based on mode
547 |         """
548 |         config = {
549 |             "configurable": {"thread_id": session_id, "persona": self.persona.name}
550 |         }
551 | 
552 |         # Merge additional config
553 |         if "config" in kwargs:
554 |             config.update(kwargs["config"])
555 | 
556 |         # Stream the graph
557 |         async for chunk in self.graph.astream(
558 |             {
559 |                 "messages": [HumanMessage(content=query)],
560 |                 "persona": self.persona.name,
561 |                 "session_id": session_id,
562 |             },
563 |             config=config,
564 |             stream_mode=stream_mode,
565 |         ):
566 |             yield chunk
567 | 
568 |     def stream(
569 |         self, query: str, session_id: str, stream_mode: str = "values", **kwargs
570 |     ):
571 |         """
572 |         Stream agent responses synchronously.
573 | 
574 |         Args:
575 |             query: User query
576 |             session_id: Session identifier
577 |             stream_mode: Streaming mode (values, updates, messages, custom, debug)
578 |             **kwargs: Additional parameters
579 | 
580 |         Yields:
581 |             Streamed chunks based on mode
582 |         """
583 |         config = {
584 |             "configurable": {"thread_id": session_id, "persona": self.persona.name}
585 |         }
586 | 
587 |         # Merge additional config
588 |         if "config" in kwargs:
589 |             config.update(kwargs["config"])
590 | 
591 |         # Stream the graph
592 |         yield from self.graph.stream(
593 |             {
594 |                 "messages": [HumanMessage(content=query)],
595 |                 "persona": self.persona.name,
596 |                 "session_id": session_id,
597 |             },
598 |             config=config,
599 |             stream_mode=stream_mode,
600 |         )
601 | 
602 |     def _extract_response(self, result: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
603 |         """Extract the final response from graph execution."""
604 |         messages = result.get("messages", [])
605 | 
606 |         if not messages:
607 |             return {"content": "No response generated", "status": "error"}
608 | 
609 |         # Get the last AI message
610 |         last_message = messages[-1]
611 | 
612 |         return {
613 |             "content": last_message.content
614 |             if hasattr(last_message, "content")
615 |             else str(last_message),
616 |             "status": "success",
617 |             "persona": self.persona.name,
618 |             "message_count": len(messages),
619 |             "session_id": result.get("session_id", ""),
620 |         }
621 | 
622 |     def get_risk_adjusted_params(
623 |         self, base_params: dict[str, float]
624 |     ) -> dict[str, float]:
625 |         """Adjust parameters based on persona risk profile."""
626 |         adjusted = {}
627 | 
628 |         for key, value in base_params.items():
629 |             if "size" in key.lower() or "position" in key.lower():
630 |                 adjusted[key] = self.adjust_for_risk(value, "position_size")
631 |             elif "stop" in key.lower():
632 |                 adjusted[key] = self.adjust_for_risk(value, "stop_loss")
633 |             elif "target" in key.lower() or "profit" in key.lower():
634 |                 adjusted[key] = self.adjust_for_risk(value, "profit_target")
635 |             else:
636 |                 adjusted[key] = value
637 | 
638 |         return adjusted
639 | 
640 |     def adjust_for_risk(self, value: float, parameter_type: str) -> float:
641 |         """Adjust a value based on the persona's risk profile."""
642 |         # Get average risk tolerance
643 |         risk_avg = sum(self.persona.risk_tolerance) / 2
644 |         risk_factor = risk_avg / 50  # Normalize to 1.0 at moderate risk
645 | 
646 |         # Adjust based on parameter type
647 |         if parameter_type == "position_size":
648 |             return min(value * risk_factor, self.persona.position_size_max)
649 |         elif parameter_type == "stop_loss":
650 |             return value * self.persona.stop_loss_multiplier
651 |         elif parameter_type == "profit_target":
652 |             return value * (2 - risk_factor)  # Conservative = lower targets
653 |         else:
654 |             return value
655 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/maverick_mcp/api/routers/health_enhanced.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """
  2 | Comprehensive health check router for backtesting system.
  3 | 
  4 | Provides detailed health monitoring including:
  5 | - Component status (database, cache, external APIs)
  6 | - Circuit breaker monitoring
  7 | - Resource utilization
  8 | - Readiness and liveness probes
  9 | - Performance metrics
 10 | """
 11 | 
 12 | import asyncio
 13 | import logging
 14 | import time
 15 | from datetime import UTC, datetime
 16 | from pathlib import Path
 17 | from typing import Any
 18 | 
 19 | import psutil
 20 | from fastapi import APIRouter, HTTPException
 21 | from pydantic import BaseModel, Field
 22 | 
 23 | from maverick_mcp.config.settings import get_settings
 24 | from maverick_mcp.utils.circuit_breaker import get_circuit_breaker_status
 25 | 
 26 | logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 27 | settings = get_settings()
 28 | 
 29 | router = APIRouter(prefix="/health", tags=["Health"])
 30 | 
 31 | # Service start time for uptime calculation
 32 | _start_time = time.time()
 33 | 
 34 | 
 35 | class ComponentStatus(BaseModel):
 36 |     """Individual component health status."""
 37 | 
 38 |     name: str = Field(description="Component name")
 39 |     status: str = Field(description="Status (healthy/degraded/unhealthy)")
 40 |     response_time_ms: float | None = Field(description="Response time in milliseconds")
 41 |     last_check: str = Field(description="Timestamp of last health check")
 42 |     details: dict = Field(default_factory=dict, description="Additional status details")
 43 |     error: str | None = Field(default=None, description="Error message if unhealthy")
 44 | 
 45 | 
 46 | class ResourceUsage(BaseModel):
 47 |     """System resource usage information."""
 48 | 
 49 |     cpu_percent: float = Field(description="CPU usage percentage")
 50 |     memory_percent: float = Field(description="Memory usage percentage")
 51 |     disk_percent: float = Field(description="Disk usage percentage")
 52 |     memory_used_mb: float = Field(description="Memory used in MB")
 53 |     memory_total_mb: float = Field(description="Total memory in MB")
 54 |     disk_used_gb: float = Field(description="Disk used in GB")
 55 |     disk_total_gb: float = Field(description="Total disk in GB")
 56 |     load_average: list[float] | None = Field(
 57 |         default=None, description="System load averages"
 58 |     )
 59 | 
 60 | 
 61 | class CircuitBreakerStatus(BaseModel):
 62 |     """Circuit breaker status information."""
 63 | 
 64 |     name: str = Field(description="Circuit breaker name")
 65 |     state: str = Field(description="Current state (closed/open/half_open)")
 66 |     failure_count: int = Field(description="Current consecutive failure count")
 67 |     time_until_retry: float | None = Field(description="Seconds until retry allowed")
 68 |     metrics: dict = Field(description="Performance metrics")
 69 | 
 70 | 
 71 | class DetailedHealthStatus(BaseModel):
 72 |     """Comprehensive health status with all components."""
 73 | 
 74 |     status: str = Field(
 75 |         description="Overall health status (healthy/degraded/unhealthy)"
 76 |     )
 77 |     timestamp: str = Field(description="Current timestamp")
 78 |     version: str = Field(description="Application version")
 79 |     uptime_seconds: float = Field(description="Service uptime in seconds")
 80 |     components: dict[str, ComponentStatus] = Field(
 81 |         description="Individual component statuses"
 82 |     )
 83 |     circuit_breakers: dict[str, CircuitBreakerStatus] = Field(
 84 |         description="Circuit breaker statuses"
 85 |     )
 86 |     resource_usage: ResourceUsage = Field(description="System resource usage")
 87 |     services: dict[str, str] = Field(description="External service statuses")
 88 |     checks_summary: dict[str, int] = Field(description="Summary of check results")
 89 | 
 90 | 
 91 | class BasicHealthStatus(BaseModel):
 92 |     """Basic health status for simple health checks."""
 93 | 
 94 |     status: str = Field(
 95 |         description="Overall health status (healthy/degraded/unhealthy)"
 96 |     )
 97 |     timestamp: str = Field(description="Current timestamp")
 98 |     version: str = Field(description="Application version")
 99 |     uptime_seconds: float = Field(description="Service uptime in seconds")
100 | 
101 | 
102 | class ReadinessStatus(BaseModel):
103 |     """Readiness probe status."""
104 | 
105 |     ready: bool = Field(description="Whether service is ready to accept traffic")
106 |     timestamp: str = Field(description="Current timestamp")
107 |     dependencies: dict[str, bool] = Field(description="Dependency readiness statuses")
108 |     details: dict = Field(
109 |         default_factory=dict, description="Additional readiness details"
110 |     )
111 | 
112 | 
113 | class LivenessStatus(BaseModel):
114 |     """Liveness probe status."""
115 | 
116 |     alive: bool = Field(description="Whether service is alive and functioning")
117 |     timestamp: str = Field(description="Current timestamp")
118 |     last_heartbeat: str = Field(description="Last heartbeat timestamp")
119 |     details: dict = Field(
120 |         default_factory=dict, description="Additional liveness details"
121 |     )
122 | 
123 | 
124 | def _get_uptime_seconds() -> float:
125 |     """Get service uptime in seconds."""
126 |     return time.time() - _start_time
127 | 
128 | 
129 | def _get_resource_usage() -> ResourceUsage:
130 |     """Get current system resource usage."""
131 |     try:
132 |         # CPU usage
133 |         cpu_percent = psutil.cpu_percent(interval=1)
134 | 
135 |         # Memory usage
136 |         memory = psutil.virtual_memory()
137 |         memory_used_mb = (memory.total - memory.available) / (1024 * 1024)
138 |         memory_total_mb = memory.total / (1024 * 1024)
139 | 
140 |         # Disk usage for current directory
141 |         disk = psutil.disk_usage(Path.cwd())
142 |         disk_used_gb = (disk.total - disk.free) / (1024 * 1024 * 1024)
143 |         disk_total_gb = disk.total / (1024 * 1024 * 1024)
144 | 
145 |         # Load average (Unix systems only)
146 |         load_average = None
147 |         try:
148 |             load_average = list(psutil.getloadavg())
149 |         except (AttributeError, OSError):
150 |             # Windows doesn't have load average
151 |             pass
152 | 
153 |         return ResourceUsage(
154 |             cpu_percent=round(cpu_percent, 2),
155 |             memory_percent=round(memory.percent, 2),
156 |             disk_percent=round(disk.percent, 2),
157 |             memory_used_mb=round(memory_used_mb, 2),
158 |             memory_total_mb=round(memory_total_mb, 2),
159 |             disk_used_gb=round(disk_used_gb, 2),
160 |             disk_total_gb=round(disk_total_gb, 2),
161 |             load_average=load_average,
162 |         )
163 |     except Exception as e:
164 |         logger.error(f"Failed to get resource usage: {e}")
165 |         return ResourceUsage(
166 |             cpu_percent=0.0,
167 |             memory_percent=0.0,
168 |             disk_percent=0.0,
169 |             memory_used_mb=0.0,
170 |             memory_total_mb=0.0,
171 |             disk_used_gb=0.0,
172 |             disk_total_gb=0.0,
173 |         )
174 | 
175 | 
176 | async def _check_database_health() -> ComponentStatus:
177 |     """Check database connectivity and health."""
178 |     start_time = time.time()
179 |     timestamp = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
180 | 
181 |     try:
182 |         from maverick_mcp.data.models import get_db
183 | 
184 |         # Test database connection
185 |         db_session = next(get_db())
186 |         try:
187 |             # Simple query to test connection
188 |             result = db_session.execute("SELECT 1 as test")
189 |             test_value = result.scalar()
190 | 
191 |             response_time_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
192 | 
193 |             if test_value == 1:
194 |                 return ComponentStatus(
195 |                     name="database",
196 |                     status="healthy",
197 |                     response_time_ms=round(response_time_ms, 2),
198 |                     last_check=timestamp,
199 |                     details={"connection": "active", "query_test": "passed"},
200 |                 )
201 |             else:
202 |                 return ComponentStatus(
203 |                     name="database",
204 |                     status="unhealthy",
205 |                     response_time_ms=round(response_time_ms, 2),
206 |                     last_check=timestamp,
207 |                     error="Database query returned unexpected result",
208 |                 )
209 |         finally:
210 |             db_session.close()
211 | 
212 |     except Exception as e:
213 |         response_time_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
214 |         return ComponentStatus(
215 |             name="database",
216 |             status="unhealthy",
217 |             response_time_ms=round(response_time_ms, 2),
218 |             last_check=timestamp,
219 |             error=str(e),
220 |         )
221 | 
222 | 
223 | async def _check_cache_health() -> ComponentStatus:
224 |     """Check Redis cache connectivity and health."""
225 |     start_time = time.time()
226 |     timestamp = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
227 | 
228 |     try:
229 |         from maverick_mcp.data.cache import get_redis_client
230 | 
231 |         redis_client = get_redis_client()
232 |         if redis_client is None:
233 |             return ComponentStatus(
234 |                 name="cache",
235 |                 status="degraded",
236 |                 response_time_ms=0,
237 |                 last_check=timestamp,
238 |                 details={"type": "in_memory", "redis": "not_configured"},
239 |             )
240 | 
241 |         # Test Redis connection
242 |         await asyncio.to_thread(redis_client.ping)
243 |         response_time_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
244 | 
245 |         # Get Redis info
246 |         info = await asyncio.to_thread(redis_client.info)
247 | 
248 |         return ComponentStatus(
249 |             name="cache",
250 |             status="healthy",
251 |             response_time_ms=round(response_time_ms, 2),
252 |             last_check=timestamp,
253 |             details={
254 |                 "type": "redis",
255 |                 "version": info.get("redis_version", "unknown"),
256 |                 "memory_usage": info.get("used_memory_human", "unknown"),
257 |                 "connected_clients": info.get("connected_clients", 0),
258 |             },
259 |         )
260 | 
261 |     except Exception as e:
262 |         response_time_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
263 |         return ComponentStatus(
264 |             name="cache",
265 |             status="degraded",
266 |             response_time_ms=round(response_time_ms, 2),
267 |             last_check=timestamp,
268 |             details={"type": "fallback", "redis_error": str(e)},
269 |         )
270 | 
271 | 
272 | async def _check_external_apis_health() -> dict[str, ComponentStatus]:
273 |     """Check external API health using circuit breaker status."""
274 |     timestamp = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
275 | 
276 |     # Map circuit breaker names to API names
277 |     api_mapping = {
278 |         "yfinance": "Yahoo Finance API",
279 |         "finviz": "Finviz API",
280 |         "fred_api": "FRED Economic Data API",
281 |         "tiingo": "Tiingo Market Data API",
282 |         "openrouter": "OpenRouter AI API",
283 |         "exa": "Exa Search API",
284 |         "news_api": "News API",
285 |         "external_api": "External Services",
286 |     }
287 | 
288 |     api_statuses = {}
289 |     cb_status = get_circuit_breaker_status()
290 | 
291 |     for cb_name, display_name in api_mapping.items():
292 |         cb_info = cb_status.get(cb_name)
293 | 
294 |         if cb_info:
295 |             # Determine status based on circuit breaker state
296 |             if cb_info["state"] == "closed":
297 |                 status = "healthy"
298 |                 error = None
299 |             elif cb_info["state"] == "half_open":
300 |                 status = "degraded"
301 |                 error = "Circuit breaker testing recovery"
302 |             else:  # open
303 |                 status = "unhealthy"
304 |                 error = "Circuit breaker open due to failures"
305 | 
306 |             response_time = cb_info["metrics"].get("avg_response_time", 0)
307 | 
308 |             api_statuses[cb_name] = ComponentStatus(
309 |                 name=display_name,
310 |                 status=status,
311 |                 response_time_ms=round(response_time, 2) if response_time else None,
312 |                 last_check=timestamp,
313 |                 details={
314 |                     "circuit_breaker_state": cb_info["state"],
315 |                     "failure_count": cb_info["consecutive_failures"],
316 |                     "success_rate": cb_info["metrics"].get("success_rate", 0),
317 |                 },
318 |                 error=error,
319 |             )
320 |         else:
321 |             # API not monitored by circuit breaker
322 |             api_statuses[cb_name] = ComponentStatus(
323 |                 name=display_name,
324 |                 status="unknown",
325 |                 response_time_ms=None,
326 |                 last_check=timestamp,
327 |                 details={"monitoring": "not_configured"},
328 |             )
329 | 
330 |     return api_statuses
331 | 
332 | 
333 | async def _check_ml_models_health() -> ComponentStatus:
334 |     """Check ML model availability and health."""
335 |     timestamp = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
336 | 
337 |     try:
338 |         # Check if TA-Lib is available
339 |         # Basic test of technical analysis libraries
340 |         import numpy as np
341 | 
342 |         # Check if pandas-ta is available
343 |         import pandas_ta as ta
344 |         import talib
345 | 
346 |         test_data = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10], dtype=float)
347 |         sma_result = talib.SMA(test_data, timeperiod=5)
348 |         sma_last_value = float(sma_result[-1])
349 | 
350 |         return ComponentStatus(
351 |             name="ML Models & Libraries",
352 |             status="healthy",
353 |             response_time_ms=None,
354 |             last_check=timestamp,
355 |             details={
356 |                 "talib": f"available (v{getattr(talib, '__version__', 'unknown')})",
357 |                 "pandas_ta": f"available (v{getattr(ta, '__version__', 'unknown')})",
358 |                 "numpy": "available",
359 |                 "test_computation": "passed",
360 |                 "test_computation_sma_last": sma_last_value,
361 |             },
362 |         )
363 | 
364 |     except ImportError as e:
365 |         return ComponentStatus(
366 |             name="ML Models & Libraries",
367 |             status="degraded",
368 |             response_time_ms=None,
369 |             last_check=timestamp,
370 |             details={"missing_library": str(e)},
371 |             error=f"Missing required library: {e}",
372 |         )
373 |     except Exception as e:
374 |         return ComponentStatus(
375 |             name="ML Models & Libraries",
376 |             status="unhealthy",
377 |             response_time_ms=None,
378 |             last_check=timestamp,
379 |             error=str(e),
380 |         )
381 | 
382 | 
383 | async def _get_detailed_health_status() -> dict[str, Any]:
384 |     """Get comprehensive health status for all components."""
385 |     timestamp = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
386 | 
387 |     # Run all health checks concurrently
388 |     db_task = _check_database_health()
389 |     cache_task = _check_cache_health()
390 |     apis_task = _check_external_apis_health()
391 |     ml_task = _check_ml_models_health()
392 | 
393 |     try:
394 |         db_status, cache_status, api_statuses, ml_status = await asyncio.gather(
395 |             db_task, cache_task, apis_task, ml_task
396 |         )
397 |     except Exception as e:
398 |         logger.error(f"Error running health checks: {e}")
399 |         # Return minimal status on error
400 |         return {
401 |             "status": "unhealthy",
402 |             "timestamp": timestamp,
403 |             "version": getattr(settings, "version", "1.0.0"),
404 |             "uptime_seconds": _get_uptime_seconds(),
405 |             "components": {},
406 |             "circuit_breakers": {},
407 |             "resource_usage": _get_resource_usage(),
408 |             "services": {},
409 |             "checks_summary": {"healthy": 0, "degraded": 0, "unhealthy": 1},
410 |         }
411 | 
412 |     # Combine all component statuses
413 |     components = {
414 |         "database": db_status,
415 |         "cache": cache_status,
416 |         "ml_models": ml_status,
417 |     }
418 |     components.update(api_statuses)
419 | 
420 |     # Get circuit breaker status
421 |     cb_status = get_circuit_breaker_status()
422 |     circuit_breakers = {}
423 |     for name, status in cb_status.items():
424 |         circuit_breakers[name] = CircuitBreakerStatus(
425 |             name=status["name"],
426 |             state=status["state"],
427 |             failure_count=status["consecutive_failures"],
428 |             time_until_retry=status["time_until_retry"],
429 |             metrics=status["metrics"],
430 |         )
431 | 
432 |     # Calculate overall health status
433 |     healthy_count = sum(1 for c in components.values() if c.status == "healthy")
434 |     degraded_count = sum(1 for c in components.values() if c.status == "degraded")
435 |     unhealthy_count = sum(1 for c in components.values() if c.status == "unhealthy")
436 | 
437 |     if unhealthy_count > 0:
438 |         overall_status = "unhealthy"
439 |     elif degraded_count > 0:
440 |         overall_status = "degraded"
441 |     else:
442 |         overall_status = "healthy"
443 | 
444 |     # Check service statuses based on circuit breakers
445 |     services = {}
446 |     for name, cb_info in cb_status.items():
447 |         if cb_info["state"] == "open":
448 |             services[name] = "down"
449 |         elif cb_info["state"] == "half_open":
450 |             services[name] = "degraded"
451 |         else:
452 |             services[name] = "up"
453 | 
454 |     return {
455 |         "status": overall_status,
456 |         "timestamp": timestamp,
457 |         "version": getattr(settings, "version", "1.0.0"),
458 |         "uptime_seconds": _get_uptime_seconds(),
459 |         "components": components,
460 |         "circuit_breakers": circuit_breakers,
461 |         "resource_usage": _get_resource_usage(),
462 |         "services": services,
463 |         "checks_summary": {
464 |             "healthy": healthy_count,
465 |             "degraded": degraded_count,
466 |             "unhealthy": unhealthy_count,
467 |         },
468 |     }
469 | 
470 | 
471 | @router.get("/", response_model=BasicHealthStatus)
472 | async def basic_health_check() -> BasicHealthStatus:
473 |     """Basic health check endpoint.
474 | 
475 |     Returns simple health status without detailed component information.
476 |     Suitable for basic monitoring and load balancer health checks.
477 |     """
478 |     try:
479 |         # Get basic status from comprehensive health check
480 |         detailed_status = await _get_detailed_health_status()
481 | 
482 |         return BasicHealthStatus(
483 |             status=detailed_status["status"],
484 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
485 |             version=getattr(settings, "version", "1.0.0"),
486 |             uptime_seconds=_get_uptime_seconds(),
487 |         )
488 |     except Exception as e:
489 |         logger.error(f"Health check failed: {e}")
490 |         return BasicHealthStatus(
491 |             status="unhealthy",
492 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
493 |             version=getattr(settings, "version", "1.0.0"),
494 |             uptime_seconds=_get_uptime_seconds(),
495 |         )
496 | 
497 | 
498 | @router.get("/detailed", response_model=DetailedHealthStatus)
499 | async def detailed_health_check() -> DetailedHealthStatus:
500 |     """Comprehensive health check with detailed component status.
501 | 
502 |     Returns detailed information about all system components including:
503 |     - Database connectivity
504 |     - Cache availability
505 |     - External API status
506 |     - Circuit breaker states
507 |     - Resource utilization
508 |     - ML model availability
509 | 
510 |     Returns:
511 |         DetailedHealthStatus: Comprehensive health information
512 |     """
513 |     try:
514 |         health_data = await _get_detailed_health_status()
515 |         return DetailedHealthStatus(**health_data)
516 |     except Exception as e:
517 |         logger.error(f"Detailed health check failed: {e}")
518 |         # Return minimal unhealthy status
519 |         return DetailedHealthStatus(
520 |             status="unhealthy",
521 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
522 |             version=getattr(settings, "version", "1.0.0"),
523 |             uptime_seconds=_get_uptime_seconds(),
524 |             components={},
525 |             circuit_breakers={},
526 |             resource_usage=ResourceUsage(
527 |                 cpu_percent=0.0,
528 |                 memory_percent=0.0,
529 |                 disk_percent=0.0,
530 |                 memory_used_mb=0.0,
531 |                 memory_total_mb=0.0,
532 |                 disk_used_gb=0.0,
533 |                 disk_total_gb=0.0,
534 |             ),
535 |             services={},
536 |             checks_summary={"healthy": 0, "degraded": 0, "unhealthy": 1},
537 |         )
538 | 
539 | 
540 | @router.get("/ready", response_model=ReadinessStatus)
541 | async def readiness_probe() -> ReadinessStatus:
542 |     """Kubernetes-style readiness probe.
543 | 
544 |     Checks if the service is ready to accept traffic.
545 |     Returns ready=true only if all critical dependencies are available.
546 |     """
547 |     try:
548 |         health_data = await _get_detailed_health_status()
549 | 
550 |         # Critical dependencies for readiness
551 |         critical_components = ["database"]
552 |         dependencies = {}
553 | 
554 |         all_critical_ready = True
555 |         for comp_name, comp_status in health_data["components"].items():
556 |             if comp_name in critical_components:
557 |                 is_ready = comp_status.status in ["healthy", "degraded"]
558 |                 dependencies[comp_name] = is_ready
559 |                 if not is_ready:
560 |                     all_critical_ready = False
561 |             else:
562 |                 # Non-critical components
563 |                 dependencies[comp_name] = comp_status.status != "unhealthy"
564 | 
565 |         return ReadinessStatus(
566 |             ready=all_critical_ready,
567 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
568 |             dependencies=dependencies,
569 |             details={
570 |                 "critical_components": critical_components,
571 |                 "overall_health": health_data["status"],
572 |             },
573 |         )
574 | 
575 |     except Exception as e:
576 |         logger.error(f"Readiness probe failed: {e}")
577 |         return ReadinessStatus(
578 |             ready=False,
579 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
580 |             dependencies={},
581 |             details={"error": str(e)},
582 |         )
583 | 
584 | 
585 | @router.get("/live", response_model=LivenessStatus)
586 | async def liveness_probe() -> LivenessStatus:
587 |     """Kubernetes-style liveness probe.
588 | 
589 |     Checks if the service is alive and functioning.
590 |     Returns alive=true if the service can process basic requests.
591 |     """
592 |     try:
593 |         # Simple check - if we can respond, we're alive
594 |         current_time = datetime.now(UTC).isoformat()
595 | 
596 |         # Basic service functionality test
597 |         uptime = _get_uptime_seconds()
598 | 
599 |         return LivenessStatus(
600 |             alive=True,
601 |             timestamp=current_time,
602 |             last_heartbeat=current_time,
603 |             details={
604 |                 "uptime_seconds": uptime,
605 |                 "service_name": settings.app_name,
606 |                 "process_id": psutil.Process().pid,
607 |             },
608 |         )
609 | 
610 |     except Exception as e:
611 |         logger.error(f"Liveness probe failed: {e}")
612 |         return LivenessStatus(
613 |             alive=False,
614 |             timestamp=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
615 |             last_heartbeat=datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
616 |             details={"error": str(e)},
617 |         )
618 | 
619 | 
620 | @router.get("/circuit-breakers", response_model=dict[str, CircuitBreakerStatus])
621 | async def get_circuit_breakers() -> dict[str, CircuitBreakerStatus]:
622 |     """Get detailed circuit breaker status.
623 | 
624 |     Returns:
625 |         Dictionary of circuit breaker statuses
626 |     """
627 |     cb_status = get_circuit_breaker_status()
628 | 
629 |     result = {}
630 |     for name, status in cb_status.items():
631 |         result[name] = CircuitBreakerStatus(
632 |             name=status["name"],
633 |             state=status["state"],
634 |             failure_count=status["consecutive_failures"],
635 |             time_until_retry=status["time_until_retry"],
636 |             metrics=status["metrics"],
637 |         )
638 | 
639 |     return result
640 | 
641 | 
642 | @router.post("/circuit-breakers/{name}/reset")
643 | async def reset_circuit_breaker(name: str) -> dict:
644 |     """Reset a specific circuit breaker.
645 | 
646 |     Args:
647 |         name: Circuit breaker name
648 | 
649 |     Returns:
650 |         Success response
651 |     """
652 |     from maverick_mcp.utils.circuit_breaker import get_circuit_breaker
653 | 
654 |     breaker = get_circuit_breaker(name)
655 |     if not breaker:
656 |         raise HTTPException(
657 |             status_code=404, detail=f"Circuit breaker '{name}' not found"
658 |         )
659 | 
660 |     breaker.reset()
661 |     logger.info(f"Circuit breaker '{name}' reset via API")
662 | 
663 |     return {"status": "success", "message": f"Circuit breaker '{name}' reset"}
664 | 
665 | 
666 | @router.post("/circuit-breakers/reset-all")
667 | async def reset_all_circuit_breakers() -> dict:
668 |     """Reset all circuit breakers.
669 | 
670 |     Returns:
671 |         Success response
672 |     """
673 |     from maverick_mcp.utils.circuit_breaker import reset_all_circuit_breakers
674 | 
675 |     reset_all_circuit_breakers()
676 |     logger.info("All circuit breakers reset via API")
677 | 
678 |     return {"status": "success", "message": "All circuit breakers reset"}
679 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/maverick_mcp/backtesting/analysis.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """Backtest result analysis utilities."""
  2 | 
  3 | import logging
  4 | from typing import Any
  5 | 
  6 | import numpy as np
  7 | import pandas as pd
  8 | import vectorbt as vbt
  9 | 
 10 | logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 11 | 
 12 | 
 13 | def convert_to_native(value):
 14 |     """Convert numpy types to native Python types for JSON serialization."""
 15 |     if isinstance(value, np.int64 | np.int32 | np.int16 | np.int8):
 16 |         return int(value)
 17 |     elif isinstance(value, np.float64 | np.float32 | np.float16):
 18 |         return float(value)
 19 |     elif isinstance(value, np.ndarray):
 20 |         return value.tolist()
 21 |     elif hasattr(value, "item"):  # For numpy scalars
 22 |         return value.item()
 23 |     elif pd.isna(value):
 24 |         return None
 25 |     return value
 26 | 
 27 | 
 28 | class BacktestAnalyzer:
 29 |     """Analyzer for backtest results."""
 30 | 
 31 |     async def run_vectorbt_backtest(
 32 |         self,
 33 |         data: pd.DataFrame,
 34 |         entry_signals: pd.Series,
 35 |         exit_signals: pd.Series,
 36 |         initial_capital: float = 10000.0,
 37 |         fees: float = 0.001,
 38 |         slippage: float = 0.001,
 39 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
 40 |         """Run a backtest using VectorBT with given signals.
 41 | 
 42 |         Args:
 43 |             data: Price data with OHLCV columns
 44 |             entry_signals: Boolean series for entry signals
 45 |             exit_signals: Boolean series for exit signals
 46 |             initial_capital: Initial capital amount
 47 |             fees: Trading fees as percentage
 48 |             slippage: Slippage as percentage
 49 | 
 50 |         Returns:
 51 |             Backtest results dictionary
 52 |         """
 53 |         # Validate inputs to prevent empty array errors
 54 |         if data is None or len(data) == 0:
 55 |             logger.warning("Empty or invalid data provided to run_vectorbt_backtest")
 56 |             return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital)
 57 | 
 58 |         if entry_signals is None or exit_signals is None:
 59 |             logger.warning("Invalid signals provided to run_vectorbt_backtest")
 60 |             return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital)
 61 | 
 62 |         # Check for empty signals or all-False signals
 63 |         if (
 64 |             len(entry_signals) == 0
 65 |             or len(exit_signals) == 0
 66 |             or entry_signals.size == 0
 67 |             or exit_signals.size == 0
 68 |         ):
 69 |             logger.warning("Empty signal arrays provided to run_vectorbt_backtest")
 70 |             return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital)
 71 | 
 72 |         # Check if signals have any True values
 73 |         if not entry_signals.any() and not exit_signals.any():
 74 |             logger.info("No trading signals generated - returning buy-and-hold results")
 75 |             return self._create_buyhold_backtest_results(data, initial_capital)
 76 | 
 77 |         # Ensure we have close prices
 78 |         close = data["close"] if "close" in data.columns else data["Close"]
 79 | 
 80 |         try:
 81 |             # Run VectorBT portfolio simulation
 82 |             portfolio = vbt.Portfolio.from_signals(
 83 |                 close=close,
 84 |                 entries=entry_signals,
 85 |                 exits=exit_signals,
 86 |                 init_cash=initial_capital,
 87 |                 fees=fees,
 88 |                 slippage=slippage,
 89 |                 freq="D",
 90 |             )
 91 |         except Exception as e:
 92 |             logger.error(f"VectorBT Portfolio.from_signals failed: {e}")
 93 |             return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital, error=str(e))
 94 | 
 95 |         # Extract metrics
 96 |         metrics = {
 97 |             "total_return": float(portfolio.total_return()),
 98 |             "annual_return": float(portfolio.annualized_return())
 99 |             if hasattr(portfolio, "annualized_return")
100 |             else 0,
101 |             "sharpe_ratio": float(portfolio.sharpe_ratio())
102 |             if not np.isnan(portfolio.sharpe_ratio())
103 |             else 0,
104 |             "max_drawdown": float(portfolio.max_drawdown()),
105 |             "win_rate": float(portfolio.trades.win_rate())
106 |             if portfolio.trades.count() > 0
107 |             else 0,
108 |             "total_trades": int(portfolio.trades.count()),
109 |             "profit_factor": float(portfolio.trades.profit_factor())
110 |             if portfolio.trades.count() > 0
111 |             else 0,
112 |         }
113 | 
114 |         # Extract trades
115 |         trades = []
116 |         if portfolio.trades.count() > 0:
117 |             try:
118 |                 # VectorBT trades are in a records array
119 |                 trade_records = portfolio.trades.records
120 |                 for i in range(len(trade_records)):
121 |                     trade = trade_records[i]
122 |                     trades.append(
123 |                         {
124 |                             "entry_time": convert_to_native(trade["entry_idx"])
125 |                             if "entry_idx" in trade.dtype.names
126 |                             else i,
127 |                             "exit_time": convert_to_native(trade["exit_idx"])
128 |                             if "exit_idx" in trade.dtype.names
129 |                             else i + 1,
130 |                             "pnl": convert_to_native(trade["pnl"])
131 |                             if "pnl" in trade.dtype.names
132 |                             else 0.0,
133 |                             "return": convert_to_native(trade["return"])
134 |                             if "return" in trade.dtype.names
135 |                             else 0.0,
136 |                         }
137 |                     )
138 |             except (AttributeError, TypeError, KeyError) as e:
139 |                 # Fallback for different trade formats
140 |                 logger.debug(f"Could not extract detailed trades: {e}")
141 |                 trades = [
142 |                     {
143 |                         "total_trades": int(portfolio.trades.count()),
144 |                         "message": "Detailed trade data not available",
145 |                     }
146 |                 ]
147 | 
148 |         # Convert equity curve to ensure all values are Python native types
149 |         equity_curve_raw = portfolio.value().to_dict()
150 |         equity_curve = {
151 |             str(k): convert_to_native(v) for k, v in equity_curve_raw.items()
152 |         }
153 | 
154 |         # Also get drawdown series with proper conversion
155 |         drawdown_raw = (
156 |             portfolio.drawdown().to_dict() if hasattr(portfolio, "drawdown") else {}
157 |         )
158 |         drawdown_series = {
159 |             str(k): convert_to_native(v) for k, v in drawdown_raw.items()
160 |         }
161 | 
162 |         return {
163 |             "metrics": metrics,
164 |             "trades": trades,
165 |             "equity_curve": equity_curve,
166 |             "drawdown_series": drawdown_series,
167 |         }
168 | 
169 |     def analyze(self, results: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
170 |         """Analyze backtest results and provide insights.
171 | 
172 |         Args:
173 |             results: Backtest results from VectorBTEngine
174 | 
175 |         Returns:
176 |             Analysis with performance grade, risk assessment, and recommendations
177 |         """
178 |         metrics = results.get("metrics", {})
179 |         trades = results.get("trades", [])
180 | 
181 |         analysis = {
182 |             "performance_grade": self._grade_performance(metrics),
183 |             "risk_assessment": self._assess_risk(metrics),
184 |             "trade_quality": self._analyze_trades(trades, metrics),
185 |             "strengths": self._identify_strengths(metrics),
186 |             "weaknesses": self._identify_weaknesses(metrics),
187 |             "recommendations": self._generate_recommendations(metrics),
188 |             "summary": self._generate_summary(metrics),
189 |         }
190 | 
191 |         return analysis
192 | 
193 |     def _grade_performance(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> str:
194 |         """Grade overall performance (A-F)."""
195 |         score = 0
196 |         max_score = 100
197 | 
198 |         # Sharpe ratio (30 points)
199 |         sharpe = metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0)
200 |         if sharpe >= 2.0:
201 |             score += 30
202 |         elif sharpe >= 1.5:
203 |             score += 25
204 |         elif sharpe >= 1.0:
205 |             score += 20
206 |         elif sharpe >= 0.5:
207 |             score += 10
208 |         else:
209 |             score += 5
210 | 
211 |         # Total return (25 points)
212 |         total_return = metrics.get("total_return", 0)
213 |         if total_return >= 0.50:  # 50%+
214 |             score += 25
215 |         elif total_return >= 0.30:
216 |             score += 20
217 |         elif total_return >= 0.15:
218 |             score += 15
219 |         elif total_return >= 0.05:
220 |             score += 10
221 |         elif total_return > 0:
222 |             score += 5
223 | 
224 |         # Win rate (20 points)
225 |         win_rate = metrics.get("win_rate", 0)
226 |         if win_rate >= 0.60:
227 |             score += 20
228 |         elif win_rate >= 0.50:
229 |             score += 15
230 |         elif win_rate >= 0.40:
231 |             score += 10
232 |         else:
233 |             score += 5
234 | 
235 |         # Max drawdown (15 points)
236 |         max_dd = abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0))
237 |         if max_dd <= 0.10:  # Less than 10%
238 |             score += 15
239 |         elif max_dd <= 0.20:
240 |             score += 12
241 |         elif max_dd <= 0.30:
242 |             score += 8
243 |         elif max_dd <= 0.40:
244 |             score += 4
245 | 
246 |         # Profit factor (10 points)
247 |         profit_factor = metrics.get("profit_factor", 0)
248 |         if profit_factor >= 2.0:
249 |             score += 10
250 |         elif profit_factor >= 1.5:
251 |             score += 8
252 |         elif profit_factor >= 1.2:
253 |             score += 5
254 |         elif profit_factor > 1.0:
255 |             score += 3
256 | 
257 |         # Convert score to grade
258 |         percentage = (score / max_score) * 100
259 |         if percentage >= 90:
260 |             return "A"
261 |         elif percentage >= 80:
262 |             return "B"
263 |         elif percentage >= 70:
264 |             return "C"
265 |         elif percentage >= 60:
266 |             return "D"
267 |         else:
268 |             return "F"
269 | 
270 |     def _assess_risk(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> dict[str, Any]:
271 |         """Assess risk characteristics."""
272 |         max_dd = abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0))
273 |         sortino = metrics.get("sortino_ratio", 0)
274 |         sharpe = metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0)
275 |         calmar = metrics.get("calmar_ratio", 0)
276 |         recovery = metrics.get("recovery_factor", 0)
277 | 
278 |         risk_level = "Low"
279 |         if max_dd > 0.40:
280 |             risk_level = "Very High"
281 |         elif max_dd > 0.30:
282 |             risk_level = "High"
283 |         elif max_dd > 0.20:
284 |             risk_level = "Medium"
285 |         elif max_dd > 0.10:
286 |             risk_level = "Low-Medium"
287 | 
288 |         return {
289 |             "risk_level": risk_level,
290 |             "max_drawdown": max_dd,
291 |             "sortino_ratio": sortino,
292 |             "calmar_ratio": calmar,
293 |             "recovery_factor": recovery,
294 |             "risk_adjusted_return": sortino if sortino > 0 else sharpe,
295 |             "downside_protection": "Good"
296 |             if sortino > 1.5
297 |             else "Moderate"
298 |             if sortino > 0.5
299 |             else "Poor",
300 |         }
301 | 
302 |     def _analyze_trades(
303 |         self, trades: list[dict], metrics: dict[str, float]
304 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
305 |         """Analyze trade quality and patterns."""
306 |         if not trades:
307 |             return {
308 |                 "quality": "No trades",
309 |                 "total_trades": 0,
310 |                 "frequency": "None",
311 |             }
312 | 
313 |         total_trades = metrics.get("total_trades", 0)
314 |         win_rate = metrics.get("win_rate", 0)
315 |         avg_duration = metrics.get("avg_duration", 0)
316 | 
317 |         # Determine trade frequency
318 |         if total_trades < 10:
319 |             frequency = "Very Low"
320 |         elif total_trades < 50:
321 |             frequency = "Low"
322 |         elif total_trades < 100:
323 |             frequency = "Moderate"
324 |         elif total_trades < 200:
325 |             frequency = "High"
326 |         else:
327 |             frequency = "Very High"
328 | 
329 |         # Determine trade quality
330 |         if win_rate >= 0.60 and metrics.get("profit_factor", 0) >= 1.5:
331 |             quality = "Excellent"
332 |         elif win_rate >= 0.50 and metrics.get("profit_factor", 0) >= 1.2:
333 |             quality = "Good"
334 |         elif win_rate >= 0.40:
335 |             quality = "Average"
336 |         else:
337 |             quality = "Poor"
338 | 
339 |         return {
340 |             "quality": quality,
341 |             "total_trades": total_trades,
342 |             "frequency": frequency,
343 |             "win_rate": win_rate,
344 |             "avg_win": metrics.get("avg_win", 0),
345 |             "avg_loss": metrics.get("avg_loss", 0),
346 |             "best_trade": metrics.get("best_trade", 0),
347 |             "worst_trade": metrics.get("worst_trade", 0),
348 |             "avg_duration_days": avg_duration,
349 |             "risk_reward_ratio": metrics.get("risk_reward_ratio", 0),
350 |         }
351 | 
352 |     def _identify_strengths(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> list[str]:
353 |         """Identify strategy strengths."""
354 |         strengths = []
355 | 
356 |         if metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0) >= 1.5:
357 |             strengths.append("Excellent risk-adjusted returns")
358 |         if metrics.get("win_rate", 0) >= 0.60:
359 |             strengths.append("High win rate")
360 |         if abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0)) <= 0.15:
361 |             strengths.append("Low maximum drawdown")
362 |         if metrics.get("profit_factor", 0) >= 1.5:
363 |             strengths.append("Strong profit factor")
364 |         if metrics.get("sortino_ratio", 0) >= 2.0:
365 |             strengths.append("Excellent downside protection")
366 |         if metrics.get("calmar_ratio", 0) >= 1.0:
367 |             strengths.append("Good return vs drawdown ratio")
368 |         if metrics.get("recovery_factor", 0) >= 3.0:
369 |             strengths.append("Quick drawdown recovery")
370 |         if metrics.get("total_return", 0) >= 0.30:
371 |             strengths.append("High total returns")
372 | 
373 |         return strengths if strengths else ["Consistent performance"]
374 | 
375 |     def _identify_weaknesses(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> list[str]:
376 |         """Identify strategy weaknesses."""
377 |         weaknesses = []
378 | 
379 |         if metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0) < 0.5:
380 |             weaknesses.append("Poor risk-adjusted returns")
381 |         if metrics.get("win_rate", 0) < 0.40:
382 |             weaknesses.append("Low win rate")
383 |         if abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0)) > 0.30:
384 |             weaknesses.append("High maximum drawdown")
385 |         if metrics.get("profit_factor", 0) < 1.0:
386 |             weaknesses.append("Unprofitable trades overall")
387 |         if metrics.get("total_trades", 0) < 10:
388 |             weaknesses.append("Insufficient trade signals")
389 |         if metrics.get("sortino_ratio", 0) < 0:
390 |             weaknesses.append("Poor downside protection")
391 |         if metrics.get("total_return", 0) < 0:
392 |             weaknesses.append("Negative returns")
393 | 
394 |         return weaknesses if weaknesses else ["Room for optimization"]
395 | 
396 |     def _generate_recommendations(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> list[str]:
397 |         """Generate improvement recommendations."""
398 |         recommendations = []
399 | 
400 |         # Risk management recommendations
401 |         if abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0)) > 0.25:
402 |             recommendations.append(
403 |                 "Implement tighter stop-loss rules to reduce drawdowns"
404 |             )
405 | 
406 |         # Win rate improvements
407 |         if metrics.get("win_rate", 0) < 0.45:
408 |             recommendations.append("Refine entry signals to improve win rate")
409 | 
410 |         # Trade frequency
411 |         if metrics.get("total_trades", 0) < 20:
412 |             recommendations.append(
413 |                 "Consider more sensitive parameters for increased signals"
414 |             )
415 |         elif metrics.get("total_trades", 0) > 200:
416 |             recommendations.append("Filter signals to reduce overtrading")
417 | 
418 |         # Risk-reward optimization
419 |         if metrics.get("risk_reward_ratio", 0) < 1.5:
420 |             recommendations.append("Adjust exit strategy for better risk-reward ratio")
421 | 
422 |         # Profit factor improvements
423 |         if metrics.get("profit_factor", 0) < 1.2:
424 |             recommendations.append(
425 |                 "Focus on cutting losses quicker and letting winners run"
426 |             )
427 | 
428 |         # Sharpe ratio improvements
429 |         if metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0) < 1.0:
430 |             recommendations.append("Consider position sizing based on volatility")
431 | 
432 |         # Kelly criterion
433 |         kelly = metrics.get("kelly_criterion", 0)
434 |         if kelly > 0 and kelly < 0.25:
435 |             recommendations.append(
436 |                 f"Consider position size of {kelly * 100:.1f}% based on Kelly Criterion"
437 |             )
438 | 
439 |         return (
440 |             recommendations
441 |             if recommendations
442 |             else ["Strategy performing well, consider live testing"]
443 |         )
444 | 
445 |     def _generate_summary(self, metrics: dict[str, float]) -> str:
446 |         """Generate a text summary of the backtest."""
447 |         total_return = metrics.get("total_return", 0) * 100
448 |         sharpe = metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0)
449 |         max_dd = abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0)) * 100
450 |         win_rate = metrics.get("win_rate", 0) * 100
451 |         total_trades = metrics.get("total_trades", 0)
452 | 
453 |         summary = f"The strategy generated a {total_return:.1f}% return with a Sharpe ratio of {sharpe:.2f}. "
454 |         summary += f"Maximum drawdown was {max_dd:.1f}% with a {win_rate:.1f}% win rate across {total_trades} trades. "
455 | 
456 |         if sharpe >= 1.5 and max_dd <= 20:
457 |             summary += (
458 |                 "Overall performance is excellent with strong risk-adjusted returns."
459 |             )
460 |         elif sharpe >= 1.0 and max_dd <= 30:
461 |             summary += "Performance is good with acceptable risk levels."
462 |         elif sharpe >= 0.5:
463 |             summary += "Performance is moderate and could benefit from optimization."
464 |         else:
465 |             summary += "Performance needs significant improvement before live trading."
466 | 
467 |         return summary
468 | 
469 |     def compare_strategies(self, results_list: list[dict[str, Any]]) -> dict[str, Any]:
470 |         """Compare multiple strategy results.
471 | 
472 |         Args:
473 |             results_list: List of backtest results to compare
474 | 
475 |         Returns:
476 |             Comparison analysis with rankings
477 |         """
478 |         if not results_list:
479 |             return {"error": "No results to compare"}
480 | 
481 |         comparisons = []
482 | 
483 |         for result in results_list:
484 |             metrics = result.get("metrics", {})
485 |             comparisons.append(
486 |                 {
487 |                     "strategy": result.get("strategy", "Unknown"),
488 |                     "parameters": result.get("parameters", {}),
489 |                     "total_return": metrics.get("total_return", 0),
490 |                     "sharpe_ratio": metrics.get("sharpe_ratio", 0),
491 |                     "max_drawdown": abs(metrics.get("max_drawdown", 0)),
492 |                     "win_rate": metrics.get("win_rate", 0),
493 |                     "profit_factor": metrics.get("profit_factor", 0),
494 |                     "total_trades": metrics.get("total_trades", 0),
495 |                     "grade": self._grade_performance(metrics),
496 |                 }
497 |             )
498 | 
499 |         # Sort by Sharpe ratio as default ranking
500 |         comparisons.sort(key=lambda x: x["sharpe_ratio"], reverse=True)
501 | 
502 |         # Add rankings
503 |         for i, comp in enumerate(comparisons, 1):
504 |             comp["rank"] = i
505 | 
506 |         # Find best in each category
507 |         best_return = max(comparisons, key=lambda x: x["total_return"])
508 |         best_sharpe = max(comparisons, key=lambda x: x["sharpe_ratio"])
509 |         best_drawdown = min(comparisons, key=lambda x: x["max_drawdown"])
510 |         best_win_rate = max(comparisons, key=lambda x: x["win_rate"])
511 | 
512 |         return {
513 |             "rankings": comparisons,
514 |             "best_overall": comparisons[0] if comparisons else None,
515 |             "best_return": best_return,
516 |             "best_sharpe": best_sharpe,
517 |             "best_drawdown": best_drawdown,
518 |             "best_win_rate": best_win_rate,
519 |             "summary": self._generate_comparison_summary(comparisons),
520 |         }
521 | 
522 |     def _generate_comparison_summary(self, comparisons: list[dict]) -> str:
523 |         """Generate summary of strategy comparison."""
524 |         if not comparisons:
525 |             return "No strategies to compare"
526 | 
527 |         best = comparisons[0]
528 |         summary = f"The best performing strategy is {best['strategy']} "
529 |         summary += f"with a Sharpe ratio of {best['sharpe_ratio']:.2f} "
530 |         summary += f"and total return of {best['total_return'] * 100:.1f}%. "
531 | 
532 |         if len(comparisons) > 1:
533 |             summary += (
534 |                 f"It outperformed {len(comparisons) - 1} other strategies tested."
535 |             )
536 | 
537 |         return summary
538 | 
539 |     def _create_empty_backtest_results(
540 |         self, initial_capital: float, error: str = None
541 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
542 |         """Create empty backtest results when no valid signals are available.
543 | 
544 |         Args:
545 |             initial_capital: Initial capital amount
546 |             error: Optional error message to include
547 | 
548 |         Returns:
549 |             Empty backtest results dictionary
550 |         """
551 |         return {
552 |             "metrics": {
553 |                 "total_return": 0.0,
554 |                 "annual_return": 0.0,
555 |                 "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
556 |                 "max_drawdown": 0.0,
557 |                 "win_rate": 0.0,
558 |                 "total_trades": 0,
559 |                 "profit_factor": 0.0,
560 |             },
561 |             "trades": [],
562 |             "equity_curve": {str(0): initial_capital},
563 |             "drawdown_series": {str(0): 0.0},
564 |             "error": error,
565 |             "message": "No trading signals generated - empty backtest results returned",
566 |         }
567 | 
568 |     def _create_buyhold_backtest_results(
569 |         self, data: pd.DataFrame, initial_capital: float
570 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
571 |         """Create buy-and-hold backtest results when no trading signals are available.
572 | 
573 |         Args:
574 |             data: Price data
575 |             initial_capital: Initial capital amount
576 | 
577 |         Returns:
578 |             Buy-and-hold backtest results dictionary
579 |         """
580 |         try:
581 |             # Calculate buy and hold performance
582 |             close = data["close"] if "close" in data.columns else data["Close"]
583 |             if len(close) == 0:
584 |                 return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital)
585 | 
586 |             start_price = close.iloc[0]
587 |             end_price = close.iloc[-1]
588 |             total_return = (end_price - start_price) / start_price
589 | 
590 |             # Simple buy and hold equity curve
591 |             normalized_prices = close / start_price * initial_capital
592 |             equity_curve = {
593 |                 str(idx): convert_to_native(val)
594 |                 for idx, val in normalized_prices.to_dict().items()
595 |             }
596 | 
597 |             # Calculate drawdown for buy and hold
598 |             cummax = normalized_prices.expanding().max()
599 |             drawdown = (normalized_prices - cummax) / cummax
600 |             drawdown_series = {
601 |                 str(idx): convert_to_native(val)
602 |                 for idx, val in drawdown.to_dict().items()
603 |             }
604 | 
605 |             return {
606 |                 "metrics": {
607 |                     "total_return": float(total_return),
608 |                     "annual_return": float(total_return * 252 / len(data))
609 |                     if len(data) > 0
610 |                     else 0.0,
611 |                     "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,  # Cannot calculate without trading
612 |                     "max_drawdown": float(drawdown.min()) if len(drawdown) > 0 else 0.0,
613 |                     "win_rate": 0.0,  # No trades
614 |                     "total_trades": 0,
615 |                     "profit_factor": 0.0,  # No trades
616 |                 },
617 |                 "trades": [],
618 |                 "equity_curve": equity_curve,
619 |                 "drawdown_series": drawdown_series,
620 |                 "message": "No trading signals generated - returning buy-and-hold performance",
621 |             }
622 |         except Exception as e:
623 |             logger.error(f"Error creating buy-and-hold results: {e}")
624 |             return self._create_empty_backtest_results(initial_capital, error=str(e))
625 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/maverick_mcp/data/validation.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """
  2 | Data Quality Validation Module for MaverickMCP.
  3 | 
  4 | This module provides comprehensive data validation functionality for
  5 | stock price data, backtesting data, and general data quality checks.
  6 | Ensures data integrity before processing and backtesting operations.
  7 | """
  8 | 
  9 | import logging
 10 | from datetime import date, datetime
 11 | from typing import Any
 12 | 
 13 | import numpy as np
 14 | import pandas as pd
 15 | from pandas import DataFrame
 16 | 
 17 | from maverick_mcp.exceptions import ValidationError
 18 | 
 19 | logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 20 | 
 21 | 
 22 | class DataValidator:
 23 |     """Comprehensive data validation for stock market and backtesting data."""
 24 | 
 25 |     @staticmethod
 26 |     def validate_date_range(
 27 |         start_date: str | datetime | date,
 28 |         end_date: str | datetime | date,
 29 |         allow_future: bool = False,
 30 |         max_range_days: int | None = None,
 31 |     ) -> tuple[datetime, datetime]:
 32 |         """
 33 |         Validate date range for data queries.
 34 | 
 35 |         Args:
 36 |             start_date: Start date for the range
 37 |             end_date: End date for the range
 38 |             allow_future: Whether to allow future dates
 39 |             max_range_days: Maximum allowed days in range
 40 | 
 41 |         Returns:
 42 |             Tuple of validated (start_date, end_date) as datetime objects
 43 | 
 44 |         Raises:
 45 |             ValidationError: If dates are invalid
 46 |         """
 47 |         # Convert to datetime objects
 48 |         if isinstance(start_date, str):
 49 |             try:
 50 |                 start_dt = pd.to_datetime(start_date).to_pydatetime()
 51 |             except Exception as e:
 52 |                 raise ValidationError(f"Invalid start_date format: {start_date}") from e
 53 |         elif isinstance(start_date, date):
 54 |             start_dt = datetime.combine(start_date, datetime.min.time())
 55 |         else:
 56 |             start_dt = start_date
 57 | 
 58 |         if isinstance(end_date, str):
 59 |             try:
 60 |                 end_dt = pd.to_datetime(end_date).to_pydatetime()
 61 |             except Exception as e:
 62 |                 raise ValidationError(f"Invalid end_date format: {end_date}") from e
 63 |         elif isinstance(end_date, date):
 64 |             end_dt = datetime.combine(end_date, datetime.min.time())
 65 |         else:
 66 |             end_dt = end_date
 67 | 
 68 |         # Validate chronological order
 69 |         if start_dt > end_dt:
 70 |             raise ValidationError(
 71 |                 f"Start date {start_dt.date()} must be before end date {end_dt.date()}"
 72 |             )
 73 | 
 74 |         # Check future dates if not allowed
 75 |         if not allow_future:
 76 |             today = datetime.now().date()
 77 |             if start_dt.date() > today:
 78 |                 raise ValidationError(
 79 |                     f"Start date {start_dt.date()} cannot be in the future"
 80 |                 )
 81 |             if end_dt.date() > today:
 82 |                 logger.warning(
 83 |                     f"End date {end_dt.date()} is in the future, using today instead"
 84 |                 )
 85 |                 end_dt = datetime.combine(today, datetime.min.time())
 86 | 
 87 |         # Check maximum range
 88 |         if max_range_days:
 89 |             range_days = (end_dt - start_dt).days
 90 |             if range_days > max_range_days:
 91 |                 raise ValidationError(
 92 |                     f"Date range too large: {range_days} days (max: {max_range_days} days)"
 93 |                 )
 94 | 
 95 |         return start_dt, end_dt
 96 | 
 97 |     @staticmethod
 98 |     def validate_data_quality(
 99 |         data: DataFrame,
100 |         required_columns: list[str] | None = None,
101 |         min_rows: int = 1,
102 |         max_missing_ratio: float = 0.1,
103 |         check_duplicates: bool = True,
104 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
105 |         """
106 |         Validate general data quality of a DataFrame.
107 | 
108 |         Args:
109 |             data: DataFrame to validate
110 |             required_columns: List of required columns
111 |             min_rows: Minimum number of rows required
112 |             max_missing_ratio: Maximum ratio of missing values allowed
113 |             check_duplicates: Whether to check for duplicate rows
114 | 
115 |         Returns:
116 |             Dictionary with validation results and quality metrics
117 | 
118 |         Raises:
119 |             ValidationError: If validation fails
120 |         """
121 |         if data is None or data.empty:
122 |             raise ValidationError("Data is None or empty")
123 | 
124 |         validation_results = {
125 |             "passed": True,
126 |             "warnings": [],
127 |             "errors": [],
128 |             "metrics": {
129 |                 "total_rows": len(data),
130 |                 "total_columns": len(data.columns),
131 |                 "missing_values": data.isnull().sum().sum(),
132 |                 "duplicate_rows": 0,
133 |             },
134 |         }
135 | 
136 |         # Check minimum rows
137 |         if len(data) < min_rows:
138 |             error_msg = f"Insufficient data: {len(data)} rows (minimum: {min_rows})"
139 |             validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
140 |             validation_results["passed"] = False
141 | 
142 |         # Check required columns
143 |         if required_columns:
144 |             missing_cols = set(required_columns) - set(data.columns)
145 |             if missing_cols:
146 |                 error_msg = f"Missing required columns: {list(missing_cols)}"
147 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
148 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
149 | 
150 |         # Check missing values ratio
151 |         total_cells = len(data) * len(data.columns)
152 |         if total_cells > 0:
153 |             missing_ratio = (
154 |                 validation_results["metrics"]["missing_values"] / total_cells
155 |             )
156 |             validation_results["metrics"]["missing_ratio"] = missing_ratio
157 | 
158 |             if missing_ratio > max_missing_ratio:
159 |                 error_msg = f"Too many missing values: {missing_ratio:.2%} (max: {max_missing_ratio:.2%})"
160 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
161 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
162 | 
163 |         # Check for duplicate rows
164 |         if check_duplicates:
165 |             duplicate_count = data.duplicated().sum()
166 |             validation_results["metrics"]["duplicate_rows"] = duplicate_count
167 | 
168 |             if duplicate_count > 0:
169 |                 warning_msg = f"Found {duplicate_count} duplicate rows"
170 |                 validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
171 | 
172 |         # Check for completely empty columns
173 |         empty_columns = data.columns[data.isnull().all()].tolist()
174 |         if empty_columns:
175 |             warning_msg = f"Completely empty columns: {empty_columns}"
176 |             validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
177 | 
178 |         return validation_results
179 | 
180 |     @staticmethod
181 |     def validate_price_data(
182 |         data: DataFrame, symbol: str = "Unknown", strict_mode: bool = True
183 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
184 |         """
185 |         Validate OHLCV stock price data integrity.
186 | 
187 |         Args:
188 |             data: DataFrame with OHLCV data
189 |             symbol: Stock symbol for error messages
190 |             strict_mode: Whether to apply strict validation rules
191 | 
192 |         Returns:
193 |             Dictionary with validation results and metrics
194 | 
195 |         Raises:
196 |             ValidationError: If validation fails in strict mode
197 |         """
198 |         expected_columns = ["open", "high", "low", "close"]
199 | 
200 |         # Basic data quality check
201 |         quality_results = DataValidator.validate_data_quality(
202 |             data,
203 |             required_columns=expected_columns,
204 |             min_rows=1,
205 |             max_missing_ratio=0.05,  # Allow 5% missing values for price data
206 |         )
207 | 
208 |         validation_results = {
209 |             "passed": quality_results["passed"],
210 |             "warnings": quality_results["warnings"].copy(),
211 |             "errors": quality_results["errors"].copy(),
212 |             "metrics": quality_results["metrics"].copy(),
213 |             "symbol": symbol,
214 |             "price_validation": {
215 |                 "negative_prices": 0,
216 |                 "zero_prices": 0,
217 |                 "invalid_ohlc_relationships": 0,
218 |                 "extreme_price_changes": 0,
219 |                 "volume_anomalies": 0,
220 |             },
221 |         }
222 | 
223 |         if data.empty:
224 |             return validation_results
225 | 
226 |         # Check for negative prices
227 |         price_cols = [col for col in expected_columns if col in data.columns]
228 |         for col in price_cols:
229 |             if col in data.columns:
230 |                 negative_count = (data[col] < 0).sum()
231 |                 if negative_count > 0:
232 |                     error_msg = (
233 |                         f"Found {negative_count} negative {col} prices for {symbol}"
234 |                     )
235 |                     validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
236 |                     validation_results["price_validation"]["negative_prices"] += (
237 |                         negative_count
238 |                     )
239 |                     validation_results["passed"] = False
240 | 
241 |         # Check for zero prices
242 |         for col in price_cols:
243 |             if col in data.columns:
244 |                 zero_count = (data[col] == 0).sum()
245 |                 if zero_count > 0:
246 |                     warning_msg = f"Found {zero_count} zero {col} prices for {symbol}"
247 |                     validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
248 |                     validation_results["price_validation"]["zero_prices"] += zero_count
249 | 
250 |         # Validate OHLC relationships (High >= Open, Close, Low; Low <= Open, Close)
251 |         if all(col in data.columns for col in ["open", "high", "low", "close"]):
252 |             # High should be >= Open, Low, Close
253 |             high_violations = (
254 |                 (data["high"] < data["open"])
255 |                 | (data["high"] < data["low"])
256 |                 | (data["high"] < data["close"])
257 |             ).sum()
258 | 
259 |             # Low should be <= Open, High, Close
260 |             low_violations = (
261 |                 (data["low"] > data["open"])
262 |                 | (data["low"] > data["high"])
263 |                 | (data["low"] > data["close"])
264 |             ).sum()
265 | 
266 |             total_ohlc_violations = high_violations + low_violations
267 |             if total_ohlc_violations > 0:
268 |                 error_msg = f"OHLC relationship violations for {symbol}: {total_ohlc_violations} bars"
269 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
270 |                 validation_results["price_validation"]["invalid_ohlc_relationships"] = (
271 |                     total_ohlc_violations
272 |                 )
273 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
274 | 
275 |         # Check for extreme price changes (>50% daily moves)
276 |         if "close" in data.columns and len(data) > 1:
277 |             daily_returns = data["close"].pct_change().dropna()
278 |             extreme_changes = (daily_returns.abs() > 0.5).sum()
279 |             if extreme_changes > 0:
280 |                 warning_msg = (
281 |                     f"Found {extreme_changes} extreme price changes (>50%) for {symbol}"
282 |                 )
283 |                 validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
284 |                 validation_results["price_validation"]["extreme_price_changes"] = (
285 |                     extreme_changes
286 |                 )
287 | 
288 |         # Validate volume data if present
289 |         if "volume" in data.columns:
290 |             negative_volume = (data["volume"] < 0).sum()
291 |             if negative_volume > 0:
292 |                 error_msg = (
293 |                     f"Found {negative_volume} negative volume values for {symbol}"
294 |                 )
295 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
296 |                 validation_results["price_validation"]["volume_anomalies"] += (
297 |                     negative_volume
298 |                 )
299 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
300 | 
301 |             # Check for suspiciously high volume (>10x median)
302 |             if len(data) > 10:
303 |                 median_volume = data["volume"].median()
304 |                 if median_volume > 0:
305 |                     high_volume_count = (data["volume"] > median_volume * 10).sum()
306 |                     if high_volume_count > 0:
307 |                         validation_results["price_validation"]["volume_anomalies"] += (
308 |                             high_volume_count
309 |                         )
310 | 
311 |         # Check data continuity (gaps in date index)
312 |         if hasattr(data.index, "to_series"):
313 |             date_diffs = data.index.to_series().diff()[1:]
314 |             if len(date_diffs) > 0:
315 |                 # Check for gaps larger than 7 days (weekend + holiday)
316 |                 large_gaps = (date_diffs > pd.Timedelta(days=7)).sum()
317 |                 if large_gaps > 0:
318 |                     warning_msg = f"Found {large_gaps} large time gaps (>7 days) in data for {symbol}"
319 |                     validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
320 | 
321 |         # Raise error in strict mode if validation failed
322 |         if strict_mode and not validation_results["passed"]:
323 |             error_summary = "; ".join(validation_results["errors"])
324 |             raise ValidationError(
325 |                 f"Price data validation failed for {symbol}: {error_summary}"
326 |             )
327 | 
328 |         return validation_results
329 | 
330 |     @staticmethod
331 |     def validate_batch_data(
332 |         batch_data: dict[str, DataFrame],
333 |         min_symbols: int = 1,
334 |         max_symbols: int = 100,
335 |         validate_individual: bool = True,
336 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
337 |         """
338 |         Validate batch data containing multiple symbol DataFrames.
339 | 
340 |         Args:
341 |             batch_data: Dictionary mapping symbols to DataFrames
342 |             min_symbols: Minimum number of symbols required
343 |             max_symbols: Maximum number of symbols allowed
344 |             validate_individual: Whether to validate each symbol's data
345 | 
346 |         Returns:
347 |             Dictionary with batch validation results
348 | 
349 |         Raises:
350 |             ValidationError: If batch validation fails
351 |         """
352 |         if not isinstance(batch_data, dict):
353 |             raise ValidationError("Batch data must be a dictionary")
354 | 
355 |         validation_results = {
356 |             "passed": True,
357 |             "warnings": [],
358 |             "errors": [],
359 |             "metrics": {
360 |                 "total_symbols": len(batch_data),
361 |                 "valid_symbols": 0,
362 |                 "invalid_symbols": 0,
363 |                 "empty_symbols": 0,
364 |                 "total_rows": 0,
365 |             },
366 |             "symbol_results": {},
367 |         }
368 | 
369 |         # Check symbol count
370 |         symbol_count = len(batch_data)
371 |         if symbol_count < min_symbols:
372 |             error_msg = f"Insufficient symbols: {symbol_count} (minimum: {min_symbols})"
373 |             validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
374 |             validation_results["passed"] = False
375 | 
376 |         if symbol_count > max_symbols:
377 |             error_msg = f"Too many symbols: {symbol_count} (maximum: {max_symbols})"
378 |             validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
379 |             validation_results["passed"] = False
380 | 
381 |         # Validate each symbol's data
382 |         for symbol, data in batch_data.items():
383 |             try:
384 |                 if data is None or data.empty:
385 |                     validation_results["metrics"]["empty_symbols"] += 1
386 |                     validation_results["symbol_results"][symbol] = {
387 |                         "passed": False,
388 |                         "error": "Empty or None data",
389 |                     }
390 |                     continue
391 | 
392 |                 if validate_individual:
393 |                     # Validate price data for each symbol
394 |                     symbol_validation = DataValidator.validate_price_data(
395 |                         data, symbol, strict_mode=False
396 |                     )
397 |                     validation_results["symbol_results"][symbol] = symbol_validation
398 | 
399 |                     if symbol_validation["passed"]:
400 |                         validation_results["metrics"]["valid_symbols"] += 1
401 |                     else:
402 |                         validation_results["metrics"]["invalid_symbols"] += 1
403 |                         # Aggregate errors
404 |                         for error in symbol_validation["errors"]:
405 |                             validation_results["errors"].append(f"{symbol}: {error}")
406 | 
407 |                         # Don't fail entire batch for individual symbol issues
408 |                         # validation_results["passed"] = False
409 |                 else:
410 |                     validation_results["metrics"]["valid_symbols"] += 1
411 |                     validation_results["symbol_results"][symbol] = {
412 |                         "passed": True,
413 |                         "rows": len(data),
414 |                     }
415 | 
416 |                 validation_results["metrics"]["total_rows"] += len(data)
417 | 
418 |             except Exception as e:
419 |                 validation_results["metrics"]["invalid_symbols"] += 1
420 |                 validation_results["symbol_results"][symbol] = {
421 |                     "passed": False,
422 |                     "error": str(e),
423 |                 }
424 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(f"{symbol}: Validation error - {e}")
425 | 
426 |         # Summary metrics
427 |         validation_results["metrics"]["success_rate"] = (
428 |             validation_results["metrics"]["valid_symbols"] / symbol_count
429 |             if symbol_count > 0
430 |             else 0.0
431 |         )
432 | 
433 |         # Add warnings for low success rate
434 |         if validation_results["metrics"]["success_rate"] < 0.8:
435 |             warning_msg = (
436 |                 f"Low success rate: {validation_results['metrics']['success_rate']:.1%}"
437 |             )
438 |             validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
439 | 
440 |         return validation_results
441 | 
442 |     @staticmethod
443 |     def validate_technical_indicators(
444 |         data: DataFrame, indicators: dict[str, Any], symbol: str = "Unknown"
445 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
446 |         """
447 |         Validate technical indicator data.
448 | 
449 |         Args:
450 |             data: DataFrame with technical indicator data
451 |             indicators: Dictionary of indicator configurations
452 |             symbol: Symbol name for error messages
453 | 
454 |         Returns:
455 |             Dictionary with validation results
456 |         """
457 |         validation_results = {
458 |             "passed": True,
459 |             "warnings": [],
460 |             "errors": [],
461 |             "metrics": {
462 |                 "total_indicators": len(indicators),
463 |                 "valid_indicators": 0,
464 |                 "nan_counts": {},
465 |             },
466 |         }
467 | 
468 |         for indicator_name, _config in indicators.items():
469 |             if indicator_name not in data.columns:
470 |                 error_msg = f"Missing indicator '{indicator_name}' for {symbol}"
471 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
472 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
473 |                 continue
474 | 
475 |             indicator_data = data[indicator_name]
476 | 
477 |             # Count NaN values
478 |             nan_count = indicator_data.isnull().sum()
479 |             validation_results["metrics"]["nan_counts"][indicator_name] = nan_count
480 | 
481 |             # Check for excessive NaN values
482 |             if len(data) > 0:
483 |                 nan_ratio = nan_count / len(data)
484 |                 if nan_ratio > 0.5:  # More than 50% NaN
485 |                     warning_msg = (
486 |                         f"High NaN ratio for '{indicator_name}': {nan_ratio:.1%}"
487 |                     )
488 |                     validation_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
489 |                 elif nan_ratio == 0:
490 |                     validation_results["metrics"]["valid_indicators"] += 1
491 | 
492 |             # Check for infinite values
493 |             if np.any(np.isinf(indicator_data.fillna(0))):
494 |                 error_msg = f"Infinite values found in '{indicator_name}' for {symbol}"
495 |                 validation_results["errors"].append(error_msg)
496 |                 validation_results["passed"] = False
497 | 
498 |         return validation_results
499 | 
500 |     @classmethod
501 |     def create_validation_report(
502 |         cls, validation_results: dict[str, Any], include_warnings: bool = True
503 |     ) -> str:
504 |         """
505 |         Create a human-readable validation report.
506 | 
507 |         Args:
508 |             validation_results: Results from validation methods
509 |             include_warnings: Whether to include warnings in report
510 | 
511 |         Returns:
512 |             Formatted validation report string
513 |         """
514 |         lines = []
515 | 
516 |         # Header
517 |         status = "✅ PASSED" if validation_results.get("passed", False) else "❌ FAILED"
518 |         lines.append(f"=== Data Validation Report - {status} ===")
519 |         lines.append("")
520 | 
521 |         # Metrics
522 |         if "metrics" in validation_results:
523 |             lines.append("📊 Metrics:")
524 |             for key, value in validation_results["metrics"].items():
525 |                 if isinstance(value, float) and 0 < value < 1:
526 |                     lines.append(f"  • {key}: {value:.2%}")
527 |                 else:
528 |                     lines.append(f"  • {key}: {value}")
529 |             lines.append("")
530 | 
531 |         # Errors
532 |         if validation_results.get("errors"):
533 |             lines.append("❌ Errors:")
534 |             for error in validation_results["errors"]:
535 |                 lines.append(f"  • {error}")
536 |             lines.append("")
537 | 
538 |         # Warnings
539 |         if include_warnings and validation_results.get("warnings"):
540 |             lines.append("⚠️ Warnings:")
541 |             for warning in validation_results["warnings"]:
542 |                 lines.append(f"  • {warning}")
543 |             lines.append("")
544 | 
545 |         # Symbol-specific results (for batch validation)
546 |         if "symbol_results" in validation_results:
547 |             failed_symbols = [
548 |                 symbol
549 |                 for symbol, result in validation_results["symbol_results"].items()
550 |                 if not result.get("passed", True)
551 |             ]
552 |             if failed_symbols:
553 |                 lines.append(f"🔍 Failed Symbols ({len(failed_symbols)}):")
554 |                 for symbol in failed_symbols:
555 |                     result = validation_results["symbol_results"][symbol]
556 |                     error = result.get("error", "Unknown error")
557 |                     lines.append(f"  • {symbol}: {error}")
558 |                 lines.append("")
559 | 
560 |         return "\n".join(lines)
561 | 
562 | 
563 | # Convenience functions for common validation scenarios
564 | def validate_stock_data(
565 |     data: DataFrame,
566 |     symbol: str,
567 |     start_date: str | None = None,
568 |     end_date: str | None = None,
569 |     strict: bool = True,
570 | ) -> dict[str, Any]:
571 |     """
572 |     Convenience function to validate stock data with date range.
573 | 
574 |     Args:
575 |         data: Stock price DataFrame
576 |         symbol: Stock symbol
577 |         start_date: Expected start date (optional)
578 |         end_date: Expected end date (optional)
579 |         strict: Whether to use strict validation
580 | 
581 |     Returns:
582 |         Combined validation results
583 |     """
584 |     validator = DataValidator()
585 | 
586 |     # Validate price data
587 |     price_results = validator.validate_price_data(data, symbol, strict_mode=strict)
588 | 
589 |     # Validate date range if provided
590 |     if start_date and end_date:
591 |         try:
592 |             validator.validate_date_range(start_date, end_date)
593 |             price_results["date_range_valid"] = True
594 |         except ValidationError as e:
595 |             price_results["date_range_valid"] = False
596 |             price_results["errors"].append(f"Date range validation failed: {e}")
597 |             price_results["passed"] = False
598 | 
599 |     return price_results
600 | 
601 | 
602 | def validate_backtest_data(
603 |     data: dict[str, DataFrame], min_history_days: int = 30
604 | ) -> dict[str, Any]:
605 |     """
606 |     Convenience function to validate backtesting data requirements.
607 | 
608 |     Args:
609 |         data: Dictionary of symbol -> DataFrame mappings
610 |         min_history_days: Minimum days of history required
611 | 
612 |     Returns:
613 |         Validation results for backtesting
614 |     """
615 |     validator = DataValidator()
616 | 
617 |     # Validate batch data
618 |     batch_results = validator.validate_batch_data(data, validate_individual=True)
619 | 
620 |     # Additional backtesting-specific checks
621 |     for symbol, df in data.items():
622 |         if not df.empty and len(df) < min_history_days:
623 |             warning_msg = (
624 |                 f"{symbol}: Only {len(df)} days of data (minimum: {min_history_days})"
625 |             )
626 |             batch_results["warnings"].append(warning_msg)
627 | 
628 |     return batch_results
629 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/maverick_mcp/workflows/agents/validator_agent.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """
  2 | Validator Agent for backtesting results validation and robustness testing.
  3 | 
  4 | This agent performs walk-forward analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, and robustness
  5 | testing to validate optimization results and provide confidence-scored recommendations.
  6 | """
  7 | 
  8 | import logging
  9 | import statistics
 10 | from datetime import datetime, timedelta
 11 | from typing import Any
 12 | 
 13 | from maverick_mcp.backtesting import StrategyOptimizer, VectorBTEngine
 14 | from maverick_mcp.workflows.state import BacktestingWorkflowState
 15 | 
 16 | logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
 17 | 
 18 | 
 19 | class ValidatorAgent:
 20 |     """Intelligent validator for backtesting results and strategy robustness."""
 21 | 
 22 |     def __init__(
 23 |         self,
 24 |         vectorbt_engine: VectorBTEngine | None = None,
 25 |         strategy_optimizer: StrategyOptimizer | None = None,
 26 |     ):
 27 |         """Initialize validator agent.
 28 | 
 29 |         Args:
 30 |             vectorbt_engine: VectorBT backtesting engine
 31 |             strategy_optimizer: Strategy optimization engine
 32 |         """
 33 |         self.engine = vectorbt_engine or VectorBTEngine()
 34 |         self.optimizer = strategy_optimizer or StrategyOptimizer(self.engine)
 35 | 
 36 |         # Validation criteria for different regimes
 37 |         self.REGIME_VALIDATION_CRITERIA = {
 38 |             "trending": {
 39 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 0.8,
 40 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.25,
 41 |                 "min_total_return": 0.10,
 42 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.35,
 43 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.7,
 44 |             },
 45 |             "ranging": {
 46 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 1.0,  # Higher standard for ranging markets
 47 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.15,
 48 |                 "min_total_return": 0.05,
 49 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.45,
 50 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.8,
 51 |             },
 52 |             "volatile": {
 53 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 0.6,  # Lower expectation in volatile markets
 54 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.35,
 55 |                 "min_total_return": 0.08,
 56 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.30,
 57 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.6,
 58 |             },
 59 |             "volatile_trending": {
 60 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 0.7,
 61 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.30,
 62 |                 "min_total_return": 0.12,
 63 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.35,
 64 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.65,
 65 |             },
 66 |             "low_volume": {
 67 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 0.9,
 68 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.20,
 69 |                 "min_total_return": 0.06,
 70 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.40,
 71 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.75,
 72 |             },
 73 |             "unknown": {
 74 |                 "min_sharpe_ratio": 0.8,
 75 |                 "max_drawdown_threshold": 0.20,
 76 |                 "min_total_return": 0.08,
 77 |                 "min_win_rate": 0.40,
 78 |                 "stability_threshold": 0.7,
 79 |             },
 80 |         }
 81 | 
 82 |         # Robustness scoring weights
 83 |         self.ROBUSTNESS_WEIGHTS = {
 84 |             "walk_forward_consistency": 0.3,
 85 |             "parameter_sensitivity": 0.2,
 86 |             "monte_carlo_stability": 0.2,
 87 |             "out_of_sample_performance": 0.3,
 88 |         }
 89 | 
 90 |         logger.info("ValidatorAgent initialized")
 91 | 
 92 |     async def validate_strategies(
 93 |         self, state: BacktestingWorkflowState
 94 |     ) -> BacktestingWorkflowState:
 95 |         """Validate optimized strategies through comprehensive testing.
 96 | 
 97 |         Args:
 98 |             state: Current workflow state with optimization results
 99 | 
100 |         Returns:
101 |             Updated state with validation results and final recommendations
102 |         """
103 |         start_time = datetime.now()
104 | 
105 |         try:
106 |             logger.info(
107 |                 f"Validating {len(state.best_parameters)} strategies for {state.symbol}"
108 |             )
109 | 
110 |             # Get validation criteria for current regime
111 |             validation_criteria = self._get_validation_criteria(state.market_regime)
112 | 
113 |             # Perform validation for each strategy
114 |             walk_forward_results = {}
115 |             monte_carlo_results = {}
116 |             out_of_sample_performance = {}
117 |             robustness_scores = {}
118 |             validation_warnings = []
119 | 
120 |             for strategy, parameters in state.best_parameters.items():
121 |                 try:
122 |                     logger.info(f"Validating {strategy} strategy...")
123 | 
124 |                     # Walk-forward analysis
125 |                     wf_result = await self._run_walk_forward_analysis(
126 |                         state, strategy, parameters
127 |                     )
128 |                     walk_forward_results[strategy] = wf_result
129 | 
130 |                     # Monte Carlo simulation
131 |                     mc_result = await self._run_monte_carlo_simulation(
132 |                         state, strategy, parameters
133 |                     )
134 |                     monte_carlo_results[strategy] = mc_result
135 | 
136 |                     # Out-of-sample testing
137 |                     oos_result = await self._run_out_of_sample_test(
138 |                         state, strategy, parameters
139 |                     )
140 |                     out_of_sample_performance[strategy] = oos_result
141 | 
142 |                     # Calculate robustness score
143 |                     robustness_score = self._calculate_robustness_score(
144 |                         wf_result, mc_result, oos_result, validation_criteria
145 |                     )
146 |                     robustness_scores[strategy] = robustness_score
147 | 
148 |                     # Check for validation warnings
149 |                     warnings = self._check_validation_warnings(
150 |                         strategy, wf_result, mc_result, oos_result, validation_criteria
151 |                     )
152 |                     validation_warnings.extend(warnings)
153 | 
154 |                     logger.info(
155 |                         f"Validated {strategy}: robustness score {robustness_score:.2f}"
156 |                     )
157 | 
158 |                 except Exception as e:
159 |                     logger.error(f"Failed to validate {strategy}: {e}")
160 |                     robustness_scores[strategy] = 0.0
161 |                     validation_warnings.append(
162 |                         f"{strategy}: Validation failed - {str(e)}"
163 |                     )
164 | 
165 |             # Generate final recommendations
166 |             final_ranking = self._generate_final_ranking(
167 |                 state.best_parameters, robustness_scores, state.strategy_rankings
168 |             )
169 | 
170 |             # Select recommended strategy
171 |             recommended_strategy, recommendation_confidence = (
172 |                 self._select_recommended_strategy(
173 |                     final_ranking, robustness_scores, state.regime_confidence
174 |                 )
175 |             )
176 | 
177 |             # Perform risk assessment
178 |             risk_assessment = self._perform_risk_assessment(
179 |                 recommended_strategy,
180 |                 walk_forward_results,
181 |                 monte_carlo_results,
182 |                 validation_criteria,
183 |             )
184 | 
185 |             # Update state
186 |             state.walk_forward_results = walk_forward_results
187 |             state.monte_carlo_results = monte_carlo_results
188 |             state.out_of_sample_performance = out_of_sample_performance
189 |             state.robustness_score = robustness_scores
190 |             state.validation_warnings = validation_warnings
191 |             state.final_strategy_ranking = final_ranking
192 |             state.recommended_strategy = recommended_strategy
193 |             state.recommended_parameters = state.best_parameters.get(
194 |                 recommended_strategy, {}
195 |             )
196 |             state.recommendation_confidence = recommendation_confidence
197 |             state.risk_assessment = risk_assessment
198 | 
199 |             # Update workflow status
200 |             state.workflow_status = "completed"
201 |             state.current_step = "validation_completed"
202 |             state.steps_completed.append("strategy_validation")
203 | 
204 |             # Record total execution time
205 |             total_execution_time = (datetime.now() - start_time).total_seconds() * 1000
206 |             state.total_execution_time_ms = (
207 |                 state.regime_analysis_time_ms
208 |                 + state.optimization_time_ms
209 |                 + total_execution_time
210 |             )
211 | 
212 |             logger.info(
213 |                 f"Strategy validation completed for {state.symbol}: "
214 |                 f"Recommended {recommended_strategy} with confidence {recommendation_confidence:.2f}"
215 |             )
216 | 
217 |             return state
218 | 
219 |         except Exception as e:
220 |             error_info = {
221 |                 "step": "strategy_validation",
222 |                 "error": str(e),
223 |                 "timestamp": datetime.now().isoformat(),
224 |                 "symbol": state.symbol,
225 |             }
226 |             state.errors_encountered.append(error_info)
227 | 
228 |             # Fallback recommendation
229 |             if state.best_parameters:
230 |                 fallback_strategy = list(state.best_parameters.keys())[0]
231 |                 state.recommended_strategy = fallback_strategy
232 |                 state.recommended_parameters = state.best_parameters[fallback_strategy]
233 |                 state.recommendation_confidence = 0.3
234 |                 state.fallback_strategies_used.append("validation_fallback")
235 | 
236 |             logger.error(f"Strategy validation failed for {state.symbol}: {e}")
237 |             return state
238 | 
239 |     def _get_validation_criteria(self, regime: str) -> dict[str, Any]:
240 |         """Get validation criteria based on market regime."""
241 |         return self.REGIME_VALIDATION_CRITERIA.get(
242 |             regime, self.REGIME_VALIDATION_CRITERIA["unknown"]
243 |         )
244 | 
245 |     async def _run_walk_forward_analysis(
246 |         self, state: BacktestingWorkflowState, strategy: str, parameters: dict[str, Any]
247 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
248 |         """Run walk-forward analysis for strategy validation."""
249 |         try:
250 |             # Calculate walk-forward windows
251 |             start_dt = datetime.strptime(state.start_date, "%Y-%m-%d")
252 |             end_dt = datetime.strptime(state.end_date, "%Y-%m-%d")
253 |             total_days = (end_dt - start_dt).days
254 | 
255 |             # Use appropriate window sizes based on data length
256 |             if total_days > 500:  # ~2 years
257 |                 window_size = 252  # 1 year
258 |                 step_size = 63  # 3 months
259 |             elif total_days > 250:  # ~1 year
260 |                 window_size = 126  # 6 months
261 |                 step_size = 42  # 6 weeks
262 |             else:
263 |                 window_size = 63  # 3 months
264 |                 step_size = 21  # 3 weeks
265 | 
266 |             # Run walk-forward analysis using the optimizer
267 |             wf_result = await self.optimizer.walk_forward_analysis(
268 |                 symbol=state.symbol,
269 |                 strategy_type=strategy,
270 |                 parameters=parameters,
271 |                 start_date=state.start_date,
272 |                 end_date=state.end_date,
273 |                 window_size=window_size,
274 |                 step_size=step_size,
275 |             )
276 | 
277 |             return wf_result
278 | 
279 |         except Exception as e:
280 |             logger.error(f"Walk-forward analysis failed for {strategy}: {e}")
281 |             return {"error": str(e), "consistency_score": 0.0}
282 | 
283 |     async def _run_monte_carlo_simulation(
284 |         self, state: BacktestingWorkflowState, strategy: str, parameters: dict[str, Any]
285 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
286 |         """Run Monte Carlo simulation for strategy validation."""
287 |         try:
288 |             # First run a backtest to get base results
289 |             backtest_result = await self.engine.run_backtest(
290 |                 symbol=state.symbol,
291 |                 strategy_type=strategy,
292 |                 parameters=parameters,
293 |                 start_date=state.start_date,
294 |                 end_date=state.end_date,
295 |                 initial_capital=state.initial_capital,
296 |             )
297 | 
298 |             # Run Monte Carlo simulation
299 |             mc_result = await self.optimizer.monte_carlo_simulation(
300 |                 backtest_results=backtest_result,
301 |                 num_simulations=500,  # Reduced for performance
302 |             )
303 | 
304 |             return mc_result
305 | 
306 |         except Exception as e:
307 |             logger.error(f"Monte Carlo simulation failed for {strategy}: {e}")
308 |             return {"error": str(e), "stability_score": 0.0}
309 | 
310 |     async def _run_out_of_sample_test(
311 |         self, state: BacktestingWorkflowState, strategy: str, parameters: dict[str, Any]
312 |     ) -> dict[str, float]:
313 |         """Run out-of-sample testing on holdout data."""
314 |         try:
315 |             # Use last 30% of data as out-of-sample
316 |             start_dt = datetime.strptime(state.start_date, "%Y-%m-%d")
317 |             end_dt = datetime.strptime(state.end_date, "%Y-%m-%d")
318 |             total_days = (end_dt - start_dt).days
319 | 
320 |             oos_days = int(total_days * 0.3)
321 |             oos_start = end_dt - timedelta(days=oos_days)
322 | 
323 |             # Run backtest on out-of-sample period
324 |             oos_result = await self.engine.run_backtest(
325 |                 symbol=state.symbol,
326 |                 strategy_type=strategy,
327 |                 parameters=parameters,
328 |                 start_date=oos_start.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
329 |                 end_date=state.end_date,
330 |                 initial_capital=state.initial_capital,
331 |             )
332 | 
333 |             return {
334 |                 "total_return": oos_result["metrics"]["total_return"],
335 |                 "sharpe_ratio": oos_result["metrics"]["sharpe_ratio"],
336 |                 "max_drawdown": oos_result["metrics"]["max_drawdown"],
337 |                 "win_rate": oos_result["metrics"]["win_rate"],
338 |                 "total_trades": oos_result["metrics"]["total_trades"],
339 |             }
340 | 
341 |         except Exception as e:
342 |             logger.error(f"Out-of-sample test failed for {strategy}: {e}")
343 |             return {
344 |                 "total_return": 0.0,
345 |                 "sharpe_ratio": 0.0,
346 |                 "max_drawdown": 0.0,
347 |                 "win_rate": 0.0,
348 |                 "total_trades": 0,
349 |             }
350 | 
351 |     def _calculate_robustness_score(
352 |         self,
353 |         wf_result: dict[str, Any],
354 |         mc_result: dict[str, Any],
355 |         oos_result: dict[str, float],
356 |         validation_criteria: dict[str, Any],
357 |     ) -> float:
358 |         """Calculate overall robustness score for a strategy."""
359 |         scores = {}
360 | 
361 |         # Walk-forward consistency score
362 |         if "consistency_score" in wf_result:
363 |             scores["walk_forward_consistency"] = wf_result["consistency_score"]
364 |         elif "error" not in wf_result and "periods" in wf_result:
365 |             # Calculate consistency from period results
366 |             period_returns = [
367 |                 p.get("total_return", 0) for p in wf_result.get("periods", [])
368 |             ]
369 |             if period_returns:
370 |                 # Lower std deviation relative to mean = higher consistency
371 |                 mean_return = statistics.mean(period_returns)
372 |                 std_return = (
373 |                     statistics.stdev(period_returns) if len(period_returns) > 1 else 0
374 |                 )
375 |                 consistency = max(0, 1 - (std_return / max(abs(mean_return), 0.01)))
376 |                 scores["walk_forward_consistency"] = min(1.0, consistency)
377 |             else:
378 |                 scores["walk_forward_consistency"] = 0.0
379 |         else:
380 |             scores["walk_forward_consistency"] = 0.0
381 | 
382 |         # Parameter sensitivity (inverse of standard error)
383 |         scores["parameter_sensitivity"] = 0.7  # Default moderate sensitivity
384 | 
385 |         # Monte Carlo stability
386 |         if "stability_score" in mc_result:
387 |             scores["monte_carlo_stability"] = mc_result["stability_score"]
388 |         elif "error" not in mc_result and "percentiles" in mc_result:
389 |             # Calculate stability from percentile spread
390 |             percentiles = mc_result["percentiles"]
391 |             p10 = percentiles.get("10", 0)
392 |             p90 = percentiles.get("90", 0)
393 |             median = percentiles.get("50", 0)
394 | 
395 |             if median != 0:
396 |                 stability = 1 - abs(p90 - p10) / abs(median)
397 |                 scores["monte_carlo_stability"] = max(0, min(1, stability))
398 |             else:
399 |                 scores["monte_carlo_stability"] = 0.0
400 |         else:
401 |             scores["monte_carlo_stability"] = 0.0
402 | 
403 |         # Out-of-sample performance score
404 |         oos_score = 0.0
405 |         if oos_result["sharpe_ratio"] >= validation_criteria["min_sharpe_ratio"]:
406 |             oos_score += 0.3
407 |         if (
408 |             abs(oos_result["max_drawdown"])
409 |             <= validation_criteria["max_drawdown_threshold"]
410 |         ):
411 |             oos_score += 0.3
412 |         if oos_result["total_return"] >= validation_criteria["min_total_return"]:
413 |             oos_score += 0.2
414 |         if oos_result["win_rate"] >= validation_criteria["min_win_rate"]:
415 |             oos_score += 0.2
416 | 
417 |         scores["out_of_sample_performance"] = oos_score
418 | 
419 |         # Calculate weighted robustness score
420 |         robustness_score = sum(
421 |             scores[component] * self.ROBUSTNESS_WEIGHTS[component]
422 |             for component in self.ROBUSTNESS_WEIGHTS
423 |         )
424 | 
425 |         return max(0.0, min(1.0, robustness_score))
426 | 
427 |     def _check_validation_warnings(
428 |         self,
429 |         strategy: str,
430 |         wf_result: dict[str, Any],
431 |         mc_result: dict[str, Any],
432 |         oos_result: dict[str, float],
433 |         validation_criteria: dict[str, Any],
434 |     ) -> list[str]:
435 |         """Check for validation warnings and concerns."""
436 |         warnings = []
437 | 
438 |         # Walk-forward analysis warnings
439 |         if "error" in wf_result:
440 |             warnings.append(f"{strategy}: Walk-forward analysis failed")
441 |         elif (
442 |             wf_result.get("consistency_score", 0)
443 |             < validation_criteria["stability_threshold"]
444 |         ):
445 |             warnings.append(
446 |                 f"{strategy}: Low walk-forward consistency ({wf_result.get('consistency_score', 0):.2f})"
447 |             )
448 | 
449 |         # Monte Carlo warnings
450 |         if "error" in mc_result:
451 |             warnings.append(f"{strategy}: Monte Carlo simulation failed")
452 |         elif mc_result.get("stability_score", 0) < 0.6:
453 |             warnings.append(f"{strategy}: High Monte Carlo variability")
454 | 
455 |         # Out-of-sample warnings
456 |         if oos_result["total_trades"] < 5:
457 |             warnings.append(
458 |                 f"{strategy}: Very few out-of-sample trades ({oos_result['total_trades']})"
459 |             )
460 | 
461 |         if oos_result["sharpe_ratio"] < validation_criteria["min_sharpe_ratio"]:
462 |             warnings.append(
463 |                 f"{strategy}: Low out-of-sample Sharpe ratio ({oos_result['sharpe_ratio']:.2f})"
464 |             )
465 | 
466 |         if (
467 |             abs(oos_result["max_drawdown"])
468 |             > validation_criteria["max_drawdown_threshold"]
469 |         ):
470 |             warnings.append(
471 |                 f"{strategy}: High out-of-sample drawdown ({oos_result['max_drawdown']:.2f})"
472 |             )
473 | 
474 |         return warnings
475 | 
476 |     def _generate_final_ranking(
477 |         self,
478 |         best_parameters: dict[str, dict[str, Any]],
479 |         robustness_scores: dict[str, float],
480 |         strategy_rankings: dict[str, float],
481 |     ) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
482 |         """Generate final ranked recommendations."""
483 |         rankings = []
484 | 
485 |         for strategy in best_parameters.keys():
486 |             robustness = robustness_scores.get(strategy, 0.0)
487 |             fitness = strategy_rankings.get(strategy, 0.5)
488 | 
489 |             # Combined score: 60% robustness, 40% initial fitness
490 |             combined_score = robustness * 0.6 + fitness * 0.4
491 | 
492 |             rankings.append(
493 |                 {
494 |                     "strategy": strategy,
495 |                     "robustness_score": robustness,
496 |                     "fitness_score": fitness,
497 |                     "combined_score": combined_score,
498 |                     "parameters": best_parameters[strategy],
499 |                     "recommendation": self._get_recommendation_level(combined_score),
500 |                 }
501 |             )
502 | 
503 |         # Sort by combined score
504 |         rankings.sort(key=lambda x: x["combined_score"], reverse=True)
505 | 
506 |         return rankings
507 | 
508 |     def _get_recommendation_level(self, combined_score: float) -> str:
509 |         """Get recommendation level based on combined score."""
510 |         if combined_score >= 0.8:
511 |             return "Highly Recommended"
512 |         elif combined_score >= 0.6:
513 |             return "Recommended"
514 |         elif combined_score >= 0.4:
515 |             return "Acceptable"
516 |         else:
517 |             return "Not Recommended"
518 | 
519 |     def _select_recommended_strategy(
520 |         self,
521 |         final_ranking: list[dict[str, Any]],
522 |         robustness_scores: dict[str, float],
523 |         regime_confidence: float,
524 |     ) -> tuple[str, float]:
525 |         """Select the final recommended strategy and calculate confidence."""
526 |         if not final_ranking:
527 |             return "sma_cross", 0.1  # Fallback
528 | 
529 |         # Select top strategy
530 |         top_strategy = final_ranking[0]["strategy"]
531 |         top_score = final_ranking[0]["combined_score"]
532 | 
533 |         # Calculate recommendation confidence
534 |         confidence_factors = []
535 | 
536 |         # Score-based confidence
537 |         confidence_factors.append(top_score)
538 | 
539 |         # Robustness-based confidence
540 |         robustness = robustness_scores.get(top_strategy, 0.0)
541 |         confidence_factors.append(robustness)
542 | 
543 |         # Regime confidence factor
544 |         confidence_factors.append(regime_confidence)
545 | 
546 |         # Score separation from second-best
547 |         if len(final_ranking) > 1:
548 |             score_gap = top_score - final_ranking[1]["combined_score"]
549 |             separation_confidence = min(score_gap * 2, 1.0)  # Scale to 0-1
550 |             confidence_factors.append(separation_confidence)
551 |         else:
552 |             confidence_factors.append(0.5)  # Moderate confidence for single option
553 | 
554 |         # Calculate overall confidence
555 |         recommendation_confidence = sum(confidence_factors) / len(confidence_factors)
556 |         recommendation_confidence = max(0.1, min(0.95, recommendation_confidence))
557 | 
558 |         return top_strategy, recommendation_confidence
559 | 
560 |     def _perform_risk_assessment(
561 |         self,
562 |         recommended_strategy: str,
563 |         walk_forward_results: dict[str, dict[str, Any]],
564 |         monte_carlo_results: dict[str, dict[str, Any]],
565 |         validation_criteria: dict[str, Any],
566 |     ) -> dict[str, Any]:
567 |         """Perform comprehensive risk assessment of recommended strategy."""
568 |         wf_result = walk_forward_results.get(recommended_strategy, {})
569 |         mc_result = monte_carlo_results.get(recommended_strategy, {})
570 | 
571 |         risk_assessment = {
572 |             "overall_risk_level": "Medium",
573 |             "key_risks": [],
574 |             "risk_mitigation": [],
575 |             "confidence_intervals": {},
576 |             "worst_case_scenario": {},
577 |         }
578 | 
579 |         # Analyze walk-forward results for risk patterns
580 |         if "periods" in wf_result:
581 |             periods = wf_result["periods"]
582 |             negative_periods = [p for p in periods if p.get("total_return", 0) < 0]
583 | 
584 |             if len(negative_periods) / len(periods) > 0.4:
585 |                 risk_assessment["key_risks"].append("High frequency of losing periods")
586 |                 risk_assessment["overall_risk_level"] = "High"
587 | 
588 |             max_period_loss = min([p.get("total_return", 0) for p in periods])
589 |             if max_period_loss < -0.15:
590 |                 risk_assessment["key_risks"].append(
591 |                     f"Severe single-period loss: {max_period_loss:.1%}"
592 |                 )
593 | 
594 |         # Analyze Monte Carlo results
595 |         if "percentiles" in mc_result:
596 |             percentiles = mc_result["percentiles"]
597 |             worst_case = percentiles.get("5", 0)  # 5th percentile
598 | 
599 |             risk_assessment["worst_case_scenario"] = {
600 |                 "return_5th_percentile": worst_case,
601 |                 "probability": 0.05,
602 |                 "description": f"5% chance of returns below {worst_case:.1%}",
603 |             }
604 | 
605 |             risk_assessment["confidence_intervals"] = {
606 |                 "90_percent_range": f"{percentiles.get('5', 0):.1%} to {percentiles.get('95', 0):.1%}",
607 |                 "median_return": f"{percentiles.get('50', 0):.1%}",
608 |             }
609 | 
610 |         # Risk mitigation recommendations
611 |         risk_assessment["risk_mitigation"] = [
612 |             "Use position sizing based on volatility",
613 |             "Implement stop-loss orders",
614 |             "Monitor strategy performance regularly",
615 |             "Consider diversification across multiple strategies",
616 |         ]
617 | 
618 |         return risk_assessment
619 | 
```

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
/tests/test_production_validation.py:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

```python
  1 | """
  2 | Production Validation Test Suite for MaverickMCP.
  3 | 
  4 | This suite validates that the system is ready for production deployment
  5 | by testing configuration, environment setup, monitoring, backup procedures,
  6 | and production-like load scenarios.
  7 | 
  8 | Validates:
  9 | - Environment configuration correctness
 10 | - SSL/TLS configuration (when available)
 11 | - Monitoring and alerting systems
 12 | - Backup and recovery procedures
 13 | - Load testing with production-like scenarios
 14 | - Security configuration in production mode
 15 | - Database migration status and integrity
 16 | - Performance optimization effectiveness
 17 | """
 18 | 
 19 | import asyncio
 20 | import os
 21 | import ssl
 22 | import time
 23 | from pathlib import Path
 24 | from unittest.mock import patch
 25 | 
 26 | import pytest
 27 | from fastapi.testclient import TestClient
 28 | 
 29 | from maverick_mcp.api.api_server import create_api_app
 30 | from maverick_mcp.config.settings import get_settings
 31 | from maverick_mcp.config.validation import get_validation_status
 32 | from maverick_mcp.data.models import SessionLocal
 33 | from maverick_mcp.data.performance import (
 34 |     cleanup_performance_systems,
 35 |     get_performance_metrics,
 36 |     initialize_performance_systems,
 37 | )
 38 | from maverick_mcp.utils.monitoring import get_metrics, initialize_monitoring
 39 | 
 40 | 
 41 | @pytest.fixture(scope="session")
 42 | def production_settings():
 43 |     """Get production-like settings."""
 44 |     with patch.dict(
 45 |         os.environ,
 46 |         {
 47 |             "ENVIRONMENT": "production",
 48 |             "AUTH_ENABLED": "true",
 49 |             "SECURITY_ENABLED": "true",
 50 |             "JWT_SECRET": "test-jwt-secret-for-production-validation-tests-minimum-32-chars",
 51 |             "DATABASE_URL": "postgresql://test:test@localhost/test_prod_db",
 52 |         },
 53 |     ):
 54 |         return get_settings()
 55 | 
 56 | 
 57 | @pytest.fixture
 58 | def production_app(production_settings):
 59 |     """Create production-configured app."""
 60 |     return create_api_app()
 61 | 
 62 | 
 63 | @pytest.fixture
 64 | def production_client(production_app):
 65 |     """Create client for production testing."""
 66 |     return TestClient(production_app)
 67 | 
 68 | 
 69 | class TestEnvironmentConfiguration:
 70 |     """Test production environment configuration."""
 71 | 
 72 |     @pytest.mark.skip(reason="Incompatible with global test environment configuration")
 73 |     def test_environment_variables_set(self, production_settings):
 74 |         """Test that all required environment variables are set."""
 75 | 
 76 |         # Critical environment variables for production
 77 |         critical_vars = [
 78 |             "DATABASE_URL",
 79 |             "JWT_SECRET",
 80 |             "ENVIRONMENT",
 81 |         ]
 82 | 
 83 |         # Check that critical vars are set (not default values)
 84 |         for var in critical_vars:
 85 |             env_value = os.getenv(var)
 86 |             if var == "DATABASE_URL":
 87 |                 # Should not be default SQLite in production
 88 |                 if env_value is None:
 89 |                     pytest.skip(f"{var} not set in test environment")
 90 |                 if env_value:
 91 |                     assert (
 92 |                         "sqlite" not in env_value.lower()
 93 |                         or "memory" not in env_value.lower()
 94 |                     )
 95 | 
 96 |             elif var == "JWT_SECRET":
 97 |                 # Should not be default/weak secret
 98 |                 if env_value is None:
 99 |                     pytest.skip(f"{var} not set in test environment")
100 |                 if env_value:
101 |                     assert len(env_value) >= 32
102 |                     assert env_value != "your-secret-key-here"
103 |                     assert env_value != "development-key"
104 | 
105 |             elif var == "ENVIRONMENT":
106 |                 if env_value is None:
107 |                     pytest.skip(f"{var} not set in test environment")
108 |                 assert env_value in ["production", "staging"]
109 | 
110 |     def test_security_configuration(self, production_settings):
111 |         """Test security configuration for production."""
112 | 
113 |         # Authentication should be enabled
114 |         assert production_settings.auth.enabled is True
115 | 
116 |         # Secure cookies in production
117 |         if production_settings.environment == "production":
118 |             # Cookie security should be enabled (skip if not implemented)
119 |             if not hasattr(production_settings, "cookie_secure"):
120 |                 pytest.skip("Cookie secure setting not implemented yet")
121 | 
122 |         # JWT configuration
123 |         assert production_settings.auth.jwt_algorithm in ["RS256", "HS256"]
124 |         assert (
125 |             production_settings.auth.jwt_access_token_expire_minutes <= 60
126 |         )  # Not too long
127 | 
128 |         # Redis configuration (should not use default)
129 |         if hasattr(production_settings.auth, "redis_url"):
130 |             redis_url = production_settings.auth.redis_url
131 |             assert "localhost" not in redis_url or os.getenv("REDIS_HOST") is not None
132 | 
133 |     def test_database_configuration(self, production_settings):
134 |         """Test database configuration for production."""
135 | 
136 |         # Get database URL from environment or settings
137 |         database_url = os.getenv("DATABASE_URL", "")
138 |         if not database_url:
139 |             pytest.skip("DATABASE_URL not set in environment")
140 | 
141 |         # Should use production database (not SQLite)
142 |         assert (
143 |             "postgresql" in database_url.lower() or "mysql" in database_url.lower()
144 |         ) and "sqlite" not in database_url.lower()
145 | 
146 |         # Should not use default credentials
147 |         if "postgresql://" in database_url:
148 |             assert "password" not in database_url or "your-password" not in database_url
149 |             assert (
150 |                 "localhost" not in database_url
151 |                 or os.getenv("DATABASE_HOST") is not None
152 |             )
153 | 
154 |         # Test database connection
155 |         try:
156 |             with SessionLocal() as session:
157 |                 result = session.execute("SELECT 1")
158 |                 assert result.scalar() == 1
159 |         except Exception as e:
160 |             pytest.skip(f"Database connection test skipped: {e}")
161 | 
162 |     def test_logging_configuration(self, production_settings):
163 |         """Test logging configuration for production."""
164 | 
165 |         # Log level should be appropriate for production
166 |         assert production_settings.api.log_level.upper() in ["INFO", "WARNING", "ERROR"]
167 | 
168 |         # Should not be DEBUG in production
169 |         if production_settings.environment == "production":
170 |             assert production_settings.api.log_level.upper() != "DEBUG"
171 | 
172 |     def test_api_configuration(self, production_settings):
173 |         """Test API configuration for production."""
174 | 
175 |         # Debug features should be disabled
176 |         if production_settings.environment == "production":
177 |             assert production_settings.api.debug is False
178 | 
179 |         # CORS should be properly configured
180 |         cors_origins = production_settings.api.cors_origins
181 |         assert cors_origins is not None
182 | 
183 |         # Should not allow all origins in production
184 |         if production_settings.environment == "production":
185 |             assert "*" not in cors_origins
186 | 
187 | 
188 | class TestSystemValidation:
189 |     """Test system validation and health checks."""
190 | 
191 |     def test_configuration_validation(self):
192 |         """Test configuration validation system."""
193 | 
194 |         validation_status = get_validation_status()
195 | 
196 |         # Should have validation status
197 |         assert "valid" in validation_status
198 |         assert "warnings" in validation_status
199 |         assert "errors" in validation_status
200 | 
201 |         # In production, should have minimal warnings/errors
202 |         if os.getenv("ENVIRONMENT") == "production":
203 |             assert len(validation_status["errors"]) == 0
204 |             assert len(validation_status["warnings"]) <= 2  # Allow some minor warnings
205 | 
206 |     def test_health_check_endpoint(self, production_client):
207 |         """Test health check endpoint functionality."""
208 | 
209 |         response = production_client.get("/health")
210 |         assert response.status_code == 200
211 | 
212 |         health_data = response.json()
213 |         assert "status" in health_data
214 |         assert health_data["status"] in ["healthy", "degraded"]
215 | 
216 |         # Should include service information
217 |         assert "services" in health_data
218 |         assert "version" in health_data
219 | 
220 |         # Should include circuit breakers
221 |         assert "circuit_breakers" in health_data
222 | 
223 |     @pytest.mark.integration
224 |     def test_database_health(self):
225 |         """Test database health and connectivity."""
226 | 
227 |         try:
228 |             with SessionLocal() as session:
229 |                 # Test basic connectivity
230 |                 from sqlalchemy import text
231 | 
232 |                 result = session.execute(text("SELECT 1 as health_check"))
233 |                 assert result.scalar() == 1
234 | 
235 |                 # Test transaction capability
236 |                 # Session already has a transaction, so just test query
237 |                 # Use SQLite-compatible query for testing
238 |                 result = session.execute(
239 |                     text("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table'")
240 |                     if "sqlite" in str(session.bind.url)
241 |                     else text("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM information_schema.tables")
242 |                 )
243 |                 assert result.scalar() >= 0  # Should return some count
244 | 
245 |         except Exception as e:
246 |             pytest.fail(f"Database health check failed: {e}")
247 | 
248 |     @pytest.mark.asyncio
249 |     @pytest.mark.integration
250 |     async def test_performance_systems_health(self):
251 |         """Test performance systems health."""
252 | 
253 |         # Initialize performance systems
254 |         performance_status = await initialize_performance_systems()
255 | 
256 |         # Should initialize successfully
257 |         assert isinstance(performance_status, dict)
258 |         assert "redis_manager" in performance_status
259 | 
260 |         # Get performance metrics
261 |         metrics = await get_performance_metrics()
262 |         assert "redis_manager" in metrics
263 |         assert "request_cache" in metrics
264 |         assert "query_optimizer" in metrics
265 |         assert "timestamp" in metrics
266 | 
267 |         # Cleanup
268 |         await cleanup_performance_systems()
269 | 
270 |     def test_monitoring_systems(self):
271 |         """Test monitoring systems are functional."""
272 | 
273 |         try:
274 |             # Initialize monitoring
275 |             initialize_monitoring()
276 | 
277 |             # Get metrics
278 |             metrics_data = get_metrics()
279 |             assert isinstance(metrics_data, str)
280 | 
281 |             # Should be Prometheus format
282 |             assert (
283 |                 "# HELP" in metrics_data
284 |                 or "# TYPE" in metrics_data
285 |                 or len(metrics_data) > 0
286 |             )
287 | 
288 |         except Exception as e:
289 |             pytest.skip(f"Monitoring test skipped: {e}")
290 | 
291 | 
292 | class TestSSLTLSConfiguration:
293 |     """Test SSL/TLS configuration (when available)."""
294 | 
295 |     def test_ssl_certificate_validity(self):
296 |         """Test SSL certificate validity."""
297 | 
298 |         # This would test actual SSL certificate in production
299 |         # For testing, we check if SSL context can be created
300 | 
301 |         try:
302 |             context = ssl.create_default_context()
303 |             assert context.check_hostname is True
304 |             assert context.verify_mode == ssl.CERT_REQUIRED
305 | 
306 |         except Exception as e:
307 |             pytest.skip(f"SSL test skipped: {e}")
308 | 
309 |     def test_tls_configuration(self, production_client):
310 |         """Test TLS configuration."""
311 | 
312 |         # Test security headers are present
313 |         production_client.get("/health")
314 | 
315 |         # Should have security headers in production
316 |         security_headers = [
317 |             "X-Content-Type-Options",
318 |             "X-Frame-Options",
319 |             "X-XSS-Protection",
320 |         ]
321 | 
322 |         # Note: These would be set by security middleware
323 |         # Check if security middleware is active
324 |         for _header in security_headers:
325 |             # In test environment, headers might not be set
326 |             # In production, they should be present
327 |             if os.getenv("ENVIRONMENT") == "production":
328 |                 # assert header in response.headers
329 |                 pass  # Skip for test environment
330 | 
331 |     def test_secure_cookie_configuration(self, production_client, production_settings):
332 |         """Test secure cookie configuration."""
333 | 
334 |         if production_settings.environment != "production":
335 |             pytest.skip("Secure cookie test only for production")
336 | 
337 |         # Test that cookies are set with secure flags
338 |         test_user = {
339 |             "email": "[email protected]",
340 |             "password": "TestPass123!",
341 |             "name": "SSL Test User",
342 |         }
343 | 
344 |         # Register and login
345 |         production_client.post("/auth/register", json=test_user)
346 |         login_response = production_client.post(
347 |             "/auth/login",
348 |             json={"email": test_user["email"], "password": test_user["password"]},
349 |         )
350 | 
351 |         # Check cookie headers for security flags
352 |         cookie_header = login_response.headers.get("set-cookie", "")
353 |         if cookie_header:
354 |             # Should have Secure flag in production
355 |             assert "Secure" in cookie_header
356 |             assert "HttpOnly" in cookie_header
357 |             assert "SameSite" in cookie_header
358 | 
359 | 
360 | class TestBackupAndRecovery:
361 |     """Test backup and recovery procedures."""
362 | 
363 |     def test_database_backup_capability(self):
364 |         """Test database backup capability."""
365 | 
366 |         try:
367 |             with SessionLocal() as session:
368 |                 # Test that we can read critical tables
369 |                 critical_tables = [
370 |                     "mcp_users",
371 |                     "mcp_api_keys",
372 |                     "auth_audit_log",
373 |                 ]
374 | 
375 |                 for table in critical_tables:
376 |                     try:
377 |                         result = session.execute(f"SELECT COUNT(*) FROM {table}")
378 |                         count = result.scalar()
379 |                         assert count >= 0  # Should be able to count rows
380 | 
381 |                     except Exception as e:
382 |                         # Table might not exist in test environment
383 |                         pytest.skip(f"Table {table} not found: {e}")
384 | 
385 |         except Exception as e:
386 |             pytest.skip(f"Database backup test skipped: {e}")
387 | 
388 |     def test_configuration_backup(self):
389 |         """Test configuration backup capability."""
390 | 
391 |         # Test that critical configuration can be backed up
392 |         critical_config_files = [
393 |             "alembic.ini",
394 |             ".env",  # Note: should not backup .env with secrets
395 |             "pyproject.toml",
396 |         ]
397 | 
398 |         project_root = Path(__file__).parent.parent
399 | 
400 |         for config_file in critical_config_files:
401 |             config_path = project_root / config_file
402 |             if config_path.exists():
403 |                 # Should be readable
404 |                 assert config_path.is_file()
405 |                 assert os.access(config_path, os.R_OK)
406 |             else:
407 |                 # Some files might not exist in test environment
408 |                 pass
409 | 
410 |     def test_graceful_shutdown_capability(self, production_app):
411 |         """Test graceful shutdown capability."""
412 | 
413 |         # Test that app can handle shutdown signals
414 |         # This is more of a conceptual test since we can't actually shut down
415 | 
416 |         # Check that shutdown handlers are registered
417 |         # This would be tested in actual deployment
418 |         assert hasattr(production_app, "router")
419 |         assert production_app.router is not None
420 | 
421 | 
422 | class TestLoadTesting:
423 |     """Test system under production-like load."""
424 | 
425 |     @pytest.mark.skip(
426 |         reason="Long-running load test - disabled to conserve CI resources"
427 |     )
428 |     @pytest.mark.asyncio
429 |     @pytest.mark.integration
430 |     async def test_concurrent_user_load(self, production_client):
431 |         """Test system under concurrent user load."""
432 | 
433 |         # Create multiple test users
434 |         test_users = []
435 |         for i in range(5):
436 |             user = {
437 |                 "email": f"loadtest{i}@example.com",
438 |                 "password": "LoadTest123!",
439 |                 "name": f"Load Test User {i}",
440 |             }
441 |             test_users.append(user)
442 | 
443 |             # Register user
444 |             response = production_client.post("/auth/register", json=user)
445 |             if response.status_code not in [200, 201]:
446 |                 pytest.skip("User registration failed in load test")
447 | 
448 |         # Simulate concurrent operations
449 |         async def user_session(user_data):
450 |             """Simulate a complete user session."""
451 |             results = []
452 | 
453 |             # Login
454 |             login_response = production_client.post(
455 |                 "/auth/login",
456 |                 json={"email": user_data["email"], "password": user_data["password"]},
457 |             )
458 |             results.append(("login", login_response.status_code))
459 | 
460 |             if login_response.status_code == 200:
461 |                 csrf_token = login_response.json().get("csrf_token")
462 | 
463 |                 # Multiple API calls
464 |                 for _ in range(3):
465 |                     profile_response = production_client.get(
466 |                         "/user/profile", headers={"X-CSRF-Token": csrf_token}
467 |                     )
468 |                     results.append(("profile", profile_response.status_code))
469 | 
470 |             return results
471 | 
472 |         # Run concurrent sessions
473 |         tasks = [user_session(user) for user in test_users]
474 |         session_results = await asyncio.gather(*tasks, return_exceptions=True)
475 | 
476 |         # Analyze results
477 |         all_results = []
478 |         for result in session_results:
479 |             if isinstance(result, list):
480 |                 all_results.extend(result)
481 | 
482 |         # Should have mostly successful responses
483 |         success_rate = sum(
484 |             1 for op, status in all_results if status in [200, 201]
485 |         ) / len(all_results)
486 |         assert success_rate >= 0.8  # At least 80% success rate
487 | 
488 |     @pytest.mark.skip(
489 |         reason="Long-running performance test - disabled to conserve CI resources"
490 |     )
491 |     def test_api_endpoint_performance(self, production_client):
492 |         """Test API endpoint performance."""
493 | 
494 |         # Test key endpoints for performance
495 |         endpoints_to_test = [
496 |             "/health",
497 |             "/",
498 |         ]
499 | 
500 |         performance_results = {}
501 | 
502 |         for endpoint in endpoints_to_test:
503 |             times = []
504 | 
505 |             for _ in range(5):
506 |                 start_time = time.time()
507 |                 response = production_client.get(endpoint)
508 |                 end_time = time.time()
509 | 
510 |                 if response.status_code == 200:
511 |                     times.append(end_time - start_time)
512 | 
513 |             if times:
514 |                 avg_time = sum(times) / len(times)
515 |                 max_time = max(times)
516 |                 performance_results[endpoint] = {
517 |                     "avg_time": avg_time,
518 |                     "max_time": max_time,
519 |                 }
520 | 
521 |                 # Performance assertions
522 |                 assert avg_time < 1.0  # Average response under 1 second
523 |                 assert max_time < 2.0  # Max response under 2 seconds
524 | 
525 |     @pytest.mark.skip(
526 |         reason="Long-running memory test - disabled to conserve CI resources"
527 |     )
528 |     def test_memory_usage_stability(self, production_client):
529 |         """Test memory usage stability under load."""
530 | 
531 |         # Make multiple requests to test for memory leaks
532 |         initial_response_time = None
533 |         final_response_time = None
534 | 
535 |         for i in range(20):
536 |             start_time = time.time()
537 |             response = production_client.get("/health")
538 |             end_time = time.time()
539 | 
540 |             if response.status_code == 200:
541 |                 response_time = end_time - start_time
542 | 
543 |                 if i == 0:
544 |                     initial_response_time = response_time
545 |                 elif i == 19:
546 |                     final_response_time = response_time
547 | 
548 |         # Response time should not degrade significantly (indicating memory leaks)
549 |         if initial_response_time and final_response_time:
550 |             degradation_ratio = final_response_time / initial_response_time
551 |             assert degradation_ratio < 3.0  # Should not be 3x slower
552 | 
553 | 
554 | class TestProductionReadinessChecklist:
555 |     """Final production readiness checklist."""
556 | 
557 |     def test_database_migrations_applied(self):
558 |         """Test that all database migrations are applied."""
559 | 
560 |         try:
561 |             with SessionLocal() as session:
562 |                 # Check that migration tables exist
563 |                 result = session.execute("""
564 |                     SELECT table_name
565 |                     FROM information_schema.tables
566 |                     WHERE table_schema = 'public'
567 |                     AND table_name = 'alembic_version'
568 |                 """)
569 | 
570 |                 migration_table_exists = result.scalar() is not None
571 | 
572 |                 if migration_table_exists:
573 |                     # Check current migration version
574 |                     version_result = session.execute(
575 |                         "SELECT version_num FROM alembic_version"
576 |                     )
577 |                     current_version = version_result.scalar()
578 | 
579 |                     assert current_version is not None
580 |                     assert len(current_version) > 0
581 | 
582 |         except Exception as e:
583 |             pytest.skip(f"Database migration check skipped: {e}")
584 | 
585 |     def test_security_features_enabled(self, production_settings):
586 |         """Test that all security features are enabled."""
587 | 
588 |         # Authentication enabled
589 |         assert production_settings.auth.enabled is True
590 | 
591 |         # Proper environment
592 |         assert production_settings.environment in ["production", "staging"]
593 | 
594 |     def test_performance_optimizations_active(self):
595 |         """Test that performance optimizations are active."""
596 | 
597 |         # This would test actual performance optimizations
598 |         # For now, test that performance modules can be imported
599 |         try:
600 |             from maverick_mcp.data.performance import (
601 |                 query_optimizer,
602 |                 redis_manager,
603 |                 request_cache,
604 |             )
605 | 
606 |             assert redis_manager is not None
607 |             assert request_cache is not None
608 |             assert query_optimizer is not None
609 | 
610 |         except ImportError as e:
611 |             pytest.fail(f"Performance optimization modules not available: {e}")
612 | 
613 |     def test_monitoring_and_logging_ready(self):
614 |         """Test that monitoring and logging are ready."""
615 | 
616 |         try:
617 |             # Test logging configuration
618 |             from maverick_mcp.utils.logging import get_logger
619 | 
620 |             logger = get_logger("production_test")
621 |             assert logger is not None
622 | 
623 |             # Test monitoring availability
624 |             from maverick_mcp.utils.monitoring import get_metrics
625 | 
626 |             metrics = get_metrics()
627 |             assert isinstance(metrics, str)
628 | 
629 |         except Exception as e:
630 |             pytest.skip(f"Monitoring test skipped: {e}")
631 | 
632 |     @pytest.mark.integration
633 |     def test_final_system_integration(self, production_client):
634 |         """Final system integration test."""
635 | 
636 |         # Test complete workflow with unique email
637 |         import uuid
638 | 
639 |         unique_id = str(uuid.uuid4())[:8]
640 |         test_user = {
641 |             "email": f"final_test_{unique_id}@example.com",
642 |             "password": "FinalTest123!",
643 |             "name": "Final Test User",
644 |         }
645 | 
646 |         # 1. Health check
647 |         health_response = production_client.get("/health")
648 |         assert health_response.status_code == 200
649 | 
650 |         # 2. User registration
651 |         register_response = production_client.post("/auth/signup", json=test_user)
652 |         assert register_response.status_code in [200, 201]
653 | 
654 |         # 3. User login
655 |         login_response = production_client.post(
656 |             "/auth/login",
657 |             json={"email": test_user["email"], "password": test_user["password"]},
658 |         )
659 |         assert login_response.status_code == 200
660 | 
661 |         # Get tokens from response
662 |         login_data = login_response.json()
663 |         access_token = login_data.get("access_token")
664 | 
665 |         # If no access token in response body, it might be in cookies
666 |         if not access_token:
667 |             # For cookie-based auth, we just need to make sure login succeeded
668 |             assert "user" in login_data or "message" in login_data
669 | 
670 |             # 4. Authenticated API access (with cookies)
671 |             profile_response = production_client.get("/user/profile")
672 |             assert profile_response.status_code == 200
673 |         else:
674 |             # Bearer token auth
675 |             headers = {"Authorization": f"Bearer {access_token}"}
676 | 
677 |             # 4. Authenticated API access
678 |             profile_response = production_client.get("/user/profile", headers=headers)
679 |             assert profile_response.status_code == 200
680 | 
681 | 
682 | if __name__ == "__main__":
683 |     pytest.main([__file__, "-v", "--tb=short"])
684 | 
```
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